Newbury - Horse Racing: Robbie Wilders' Saturday tips

bet365 News Team Published: Aug 12 2022 21:06

The Group 2 Hungerford Stakes headlines an interesting card at Newbury on Saturday and Robbie Wilders from the Racing Post has shared his three best bets.

2.30 Newbury

Away He Goes @ 9/4
2pts win

3.00 Newbury

Fivethousandtoone @ 7/2
1pt win

3.35 Newbury

Double Or Bubble @ 6/1
1pt win

Away can come clear in Freer

Only five line up in the Geoffrey Freer Stakes (2.30) and three-year-old Zechariah will have his supporters receiving 10lb in weight for age from older rivals. However, he disappointed at Newmarket last time when a well-backed favourite for the Bahrain Trophy and has a slightly inconsistent profile.

Preferred is Away He Goes, who is lightly raced this season and ran much better than his finishing position suggested when fifth in the Goodwood Cup in July.

The Ismail Mohammed-trained six-year-old travelled as well as anything two and a half furlongs out but failed to see out the marathon test as well as Kyprios, Stradivarius, Trueshan and the progressive Coltrane. It was as good a Goodwood Cup as I can remember and he emerged with great credit.

Dropping back to 1m5½f should present no issues for Away He Goes, who moves well and recorded his last victory over 1m4f. He should be favourite in my eyes.

Fivethousandtoone to land the odds

I was surprised the handicapper elected not to raise Fivethousandtoone after a really good second to Run To Freedom in a Salisbury conditions race last time and he can go one better in this 7f handicap (3.00).

Run To Freedom had previously been beaten just over three lengths in the Group 1 Platinum Jubilee Stakes and while he was conceding 7lb to Fivethousandtoone, he looked a shade lucky to cling on as my selection rattled home when in the clear and would have won in another stride or two.

That suggested Fivethousandtoone was back in rude health after a couple of disappointing runs at Ascot and the return to seven furlongs may provide the catalyst for a better performance again.

He is exceptionally well treated off a mark of 93 having been rated 110 just 14 months ago, while his only run at Newbury yielded a second in the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes as a juvenile, so he clearly handles the course.

No bubbles burst in Hungerford

The Hungerford Stakes (3.35) looks more competitive than the earlier two heats and Tiber Flow looks a little short in the betting. He was below his best in the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot last time and perhaps his early odds owe more to his connections.

Bookmakers may be guilty of paying too much respect to William Haggas-trained horses nowadays and Double Or Bubble appeals as the overpriced one for Chris Wall.

This mare has made vast improvements at five, recording her two best efforts on Racing Post Ratings, and drops in class after being beaten an aggregate of seven lengths in a couple of competitive Group 1s at Royal Ascot and Newmarket.

Her seasonal return in which she defeated Garrus at Newmarket also looks strong form with that horse subsequently landing a Group 3 and placing in the Prix Maurice de Gheest at Deauville last weekend.

Double Or Bubble has been kept exclusively to six furlongs this term but might be superior over seven and gets the chance to strut her stuff down in grade.

She can take this en route to better things.

By Robbie Wilders