Odds to Make 2024/25 College Football Playoff: How do the five two-loss SEC teams stack up after Week 11?

The expanded 12-team College Football Playoff means that more teams have a chance at qualifying for the postseason, which means more regular season drama as teams make their cases for selection.

And after Week 11, the SEC has more to determine than any other conference. Two teams have one loss overall while five teams have two losses.

Then there's the Big Ten, which has four of the top five teams in the AP Poll.

In the Big 12, undefeated BYU is on course to win the conference, but Deion 'Coach Prime' Sanders and his Colorado Buffaloes are right behind with just one loss in the conference.

Here, we'll take a look at the odds for teams in contention to make the Playoff and discuss how the picture could shift throughout the rest of the season.

Odds to Make the 2024/25 College Football Playoff after Week 11

Ohio State	-6600
Oregon	-6600
Texas	-2500
Penn State	-1000
Indiana	-550
Georgia	-500
Alabama	-400
Miami Florida	-400
Ole Miss	-400
Boise State	-350
Notre Dame	-350
Tennessee	-350
BYU	-180
Colorado	+100
SMU	+100
Clemson	+200
Texas A&M	+300
Tulane	+500
Kansas State	+650
Iowa State	+700
LSU	+700
Army	+900
Missouri	+1000
UL Lafayette	+1600
West Virignia	+2200

A total of 13 teams are less than even money to make the Playoff after Week 11: The Oregon Ducks, Ohio State Buckeyes, Texas Longhorns, Penn State Nittany Lions, Indiana Hoosiers, Georgia Bulldogs, Alabama Crimson Tide, Miami (Florida) Hurricanes, Ole Miss Rebels, Boise State Broncos, Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Tennessee Volunteers and BYU Cougars.

But only 12 of those teams will qualify. A total of five SEC teams are among that group, as are four Big Ten programs.

The SEC has five teams with two losses on their overall record, and three of those teams - Alabama (7-2, 4-2 SEC), Georgia (7-2, 5-2 SEC) and Ole Miss (8-2, 4-2 SEC) - are minus money to make the Playoff. As things stand, chances are one of those three teams misses out.

The SEC picture could be cleared up a bit over the next few weeks as Georgia visits Tennessee (8-1, 5-1 SEC) and Texas (8-1, 4-1 SEC) visits Texas A&M (7-2, 5-2 SEC). But if Tennessee and Texas lose, things could become much more confusing for the Selection Committee.

The Big Ten is also crowded at the top. Oregon and Indiana are undefeated at 10-0 each, while Ohio State (8-1, 5-1 Big Ten) and Penn State (8-1, 5-1 Big Ten) each have one loss and have impressed the Committee all season.

The question regarding the Big Ten is less about which teams will make it - the top four all seem on course to qualify - but instead which team will earn the first-round bye as a result of winning the conference. The biggest game left on the schedule is Ohio State hosting Indiana on November 23.

The winner of that game is likely to make the conference championship game. Undefeated Oregon will qualify if it wins out, while Penn State would need both Oregon and Indiana to each lose its undefeated record for the Nittany Lions to have a chance to win the Big Ten and get the first-round Playoff bye.

In the Big 12, the 9-0 BYU Cougars are the -180 favorites to be the conference's representative in the Playoff. They just beat Utah in dramatic fashion by a 22-21 score and have quality wins over SMU and Kansas State on their resume.

That said, the Colorado Buffaloes (7-2, 5-2 Big 12) are right behind BYU. The Buffs are the only team with one loss in Big 12 play, and that means Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders and BYU QB Jake Retzlaff could face off in the conference championship game to decide which team makes the Playoff.

Although they suffered their first loss of the season in Week 11, the Miami Hurricanes (9-1, 5-1 ACC) are favored to make the Playoff at -400.

SMU (+100) and Clemson (+200) are their biggest competitors in the ACC, and the Selection Committee appears likely to only take one team from that conference. But, SMU is 8-1 overall and 5-0 in ACC play, and their superior conference record could be a difference maker in the eyes of the Committee.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-1), who are an independent program, are -350 to make it. That's despite having arguably the worst loss of any potential Playoff team - a 16-14 Week 1 defeat to Northern Illinois. But that's their only loss, and they have beaten Texas A&M, Louisville, Navy, and Army.

Star running back Ashton Jeanty and the Boise State Broncos are -350 favorites to be the Group of Five representative in the Playoff. Tulane (+500) and Army (+900) are their biggest rivals for that spot, but the Broncos' one loss being by three points to top-ranked Oregon means they control their own destiny.

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Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.