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NFL Wild Card: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills preview

Originally scheduled for Sunday afternoon, the Steelers will now visit the Bills on Monday evening after several feet of snow fell on Buffalo over the weekend.

Both of these teams nearly missed out on the playoffs all together, with the Bills securing the two-seed with their Week 18 win over Miami and the Steelers rallying after an underwhelming couple of months to sneak in as the seven-seed.

The Bills won five in a row to end the year, while Mike Tomlin's Pittsburgh won three on the spin.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills odds

PIT Steelers+390 ML
BUF Bills-525 ML
SpreadBUF -10
TotalO/U 38.5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills information

WhereHighmark Stadium, Buffalo, NY
When4:30 PM ET, Monday, January 15
How to watchCBS, Paramount+

Read more: Wild Card weekend schedule, odds, how to watch

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills predictions

Buffalo Bills -9.5 spread @ -110

Sean McDermott's Buffalo Bills return to home soil after successfully securing the AFC East title last weekend at the expense of the Miami Dolphins.

The Bills ended the regular campaign in perfect fashion, winning every game after their bye week in Week 13. 

McDermott's team beat the Kansas City Chiefs, Dallas Cowboys and Dolphins in the final few weeks, and confidence will be high as they return home.

Buffalo are 7-2 this season in front of their own supporters and they will like their chances of progressing to the next round of the playoffs.

The Bills finished the regular season sixth in the NFL for points per game and fourth for yards gained per game, so their offense should have no problem scoring points.

Pittsburgh ended the year with three wins of their own and, like the Bills, they also came through a must-win contest in Week 18.

Mike Tomlin's team have traveled well all season; their 5-3 record backs that up, but they will not have star pass rusher T.J. Watt available. The Buffalo offensive line is the best in the business for protecting their quarterback, and we expect the Bills to grind the Steelers down and pick up a routine win as a result.

Dalton Kincaid - Over 36.5 receiving yards @ -110

Even without Watt, the Steelers' defense will be competitive to the very end. They have the sixth-best defense in terms of points conceded per game, while they have the fifth-best in the red zone. 

They will try to force Bills quarterback Josh Allen to make a mistake and he has made plenty this season, throwing 18 interceptions, which is the most in his career.

However, Allen can keep things simple by bringing his tight ends into the game, and the Steelers have struggled against opposing TEs.

Bills rookie Kincaid finished the regular season with 73 receptions for 673 yards, and he should give Allen a lifeline when he is under pressure.

Josh Allen - Over 36.5 rushing yards @ -110

Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph has taken his chance in the last few weeks, guiding his team to three successive victories after stepping up due to their ongoing injury woes.

Rudolph is not known for being light on his feet, but his opposite number, Allen, is.

Allen has made some costly mistakes this year, but on the ground, he is as devastating as ever. He ran 15 times against Miami last week, and he finished the year with 524 yards - that is an average of 4.7 yards per carry.

That is not good news for the Steelers, who gave up 4.6 yards per carry to quarterbacks this season, making them the 21st team in the NFL in that category.

Injury Report

Pittsburgh Steelers: Pass rusher Watt will miss out with a knee injury, while safety Keanu Neal will also watch from the sidelines due to a rib problem. Trenton Thompson, Kwon Alexander, Cole Holcomb, Cory Trice Jr., Chapelle Russell, Alfonzo Graham and Renell Wren remain on the Injured Reserve list.

Buffalo Bills: Bills running back Damien Harris has an outside chance of returning from concussion, but the game comes too soon for the likes of Jordan Phillips, Matt Milano and Tre'Davious White. Dawson Knox, Gabe Davis, Taylor Rapp, Rasul Douglas, Tyrel Dodson, Ty Johnson and Dion Dawkins are all listed as questionable.

Pittsburgh Steelers v Buffalo Bills Stats

The Bills' offense remains one of the best in the NFL, and they ended the regular campaign as the best team on third down. 

They only allowed 24 sacks all season, the best in the NFL, while defensively they registered 54 sacks, making them the fourth-best in that category. They have five defenders who have all registered five or more sacks each.

Pittsburgh's defense is just as good, though, as they have the fifth-best defense in the red zone.

They have the sixth-best defense in terms of points conceded per game, but they have been vulnerable to rushing quarterbacks, conceding 4.6 yards per carry to that position.

Kicker Chris Boswell may well have his say in the game; he has converted 29 of his 31 Field Goals so far this year.

Head-to-head (Overall)

Pittsburgh Steelers wins17
Buffalo Bills wins12
Ties 0

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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