One of the biggest games of the Week 3 NFL slate is a massive NFC clash between the Philadelphia Eagles and New Orleans Saints, two teams coming into this contest off the back of two very different results.
Will Jalen Hurts and the Eagles bounce back from last week’s embarrassing loss, or will Derek Carr and the Saints keep on rolling en route to a 3-0 start?
Kick-off is on the horizon, so let’s take a look at the odds for the game, plus our expert’s betting picks and predictions.
For our first pick in this game, we are targeting a perfect buy-low spot on Philadelphia and a great opportunity to sell high on the Saints when public perception is at its highest.
The Saints have scored 91 total points over their first two games of the season, including dropping 44 points at AT&T Stadium against the Cowboys a week ago.
However, given Dallas’ tendency to come up small following big wins in the Mike McCarthy era, it’s hard to chalk that dominant Saints victory up to just the success and brilliance of New Orleans’ offense.
After all, Dallas blew plenty of chances to keep things close in the first half of that game and to their credit, the Saints capitalized on the Cowboys’ missed opportunities en route to a blowout victory. We’ll see what happens when New Orleans is no longer being taken lightly this week.
As for the Eagles, Philadelphia was a 2.5-point favorite for this game prior to a late loss to the Falcons on Monday, which led to a five-point swing on the spread.
Now that New Orleans is favored by nearly a field goal at most outlets, this feels like the market has overreacted a bit too much to last week’s results.
The Eagles' passing game has been inconsistent, but their ground game was once again excellent behind Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts against Atlanta on Monday night, so expect that pair to give the New Orleans defense all it can handle.
The Saints started so hot against Carolina and Dallas that we have yet to actually see this defense get tested over the course of an entire game, so it will be very interesting if Philadelphia finally puts some scoreboard pressure on New Orleans.
Philadelphia has value as the underdog in this contest, so let’s target the Eagles ML +130 over the Saints with our best bet.
New Orleans’ offense has cleared the 40-point mark in both games so far this season, but our expert is of the belief that some serious regression is coming on Sunday.
Klint Kubiak’s scheme is brilliant, but Alvin Kamara just isn’t going to put up four touchdowns every week and, if New Orleans can’t come out of the blocks in this game like it did against Carolina and Dallas, then Carr and the Saints could be in for a much tougher time against a playoff caliber opponent.
As for the visitors, Hurts struggled to get the passing game going without AJ Brown last week and that could lead to an even greater focus on the run for Kellen Moore’s offense in this one.
If Philadelphia opts to lean into its elite ground game on the road, then that should keep the clock moving and therefore limit the possessions for both teams. All of that charts us a course for an under.
Points have come at a premium in most NFL games so far this season, and this line looks a little too inflated, especially after what New Orleans has done to start the season. Let’s roll with the Under 49.5 -110 for our game totals pick.
The Eagles are often at their best when they lean into the run game and that usually involves their quarterback using his legs and picking up key first downs on the ground.
That was the case in each of the first two games this season, as Philadelphia got back to doing what it does best with Hurts and Barkley leading the way on the ground.
Hurts carried the ball 13 times for 85 yards and a touchdown against Green Bay and followed that up with another 13-carry performance against the Falcons on Monday.
Given that the Eagles passing game will likely be limited with no AJ Brown against a strong Saints secondary, Hurts will likely have to take matters into his own hands a bit more than what the market is predicting in this game.
Remember that the “tush push” play and kneel downs at the end of games both count as rushing attempts for Hurts, so if Philadelphia is to win, that play feels pretty correlated with this prop bet. Back Hurts over 9.5 rush attempts -130 for our best player prop bet.
Read more betting picks and predictions for the NFL on site
PHI Eagles | +130 ML |
NO Saints | -150 ML |
Spread | NO Saints -3 |
Total Points | 49.5 O/U |
Saquon Barkley (PHI Eagles) | -160 |
Jalen Hurts (PHI Eagles) | +110 |
Devonta Smith (PHI Eagles) | +150 |
Alvin Kamara (NO Saints) | -170 |
Chris Olave (NO Saints) | +150 |
Jamaal Williams (NO Saints) | +115 |
Read the latest NFL news on site
This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.