Who will be picked first in the 2024 NFL draft?
The NFL Draft is less than two weeks away, and there has been plenty of movement in the latest mock drafts.
One of the biggest questions is what the Chicago Bears are going to do with the first-overall pick.
There are several elite quarterbacks expected to be taken in the first few picks, but which player will have his name announced first this year?
Continue reading for a full list of the latest odds for the 2024 first overall pick.
Caleb Williams | -10000 |
Drake Maye | +2000 |
Jayden Daniels | +3000 |
J.J. McCarthy | +5000 |
Marvin Harrison Jr. | +5000 |
The consensus first overall pick for the last few months has been the USC quarterback Caleb Williams. He was the projected first overall pick before last season even started, and his excellent 2023 campaign only boosted his chances of being the first player picked.
Williams had a 68.6 completion percentage for 3,633 yards last season and was phenomenal in the red zone as he finished the year with 30 touchdowns and 5 interceptions.
However, Williams raised some eyebrows at the NFL Combine when he became the first player to attend the event but decline medical exams.
In late 2023, Williams was -500 to be the first pick. At the beginning of March, he was -1200. With less than 10 days until the draft, Williams is -10000 to be picked first.
Read more: 2024 NFL mock draft, first round projections
If Williams is not drafted first, many believe that UNC’s quarterback Drake Maye could be the first name taken.
Maye is coming off a solid season at UNC as he finished with a 63.3 completion percentage and passed for 3,608 yards. In total, Maye threw 24 touchdowns and had 9 interceptions as the Tar Heels finished with an 8-4 record.
Maye really improved his draft stock at the Combine. He impressed many scouts with his media sessions and was even compared to Phillip Rivers.
Ever since the football season ended, Maye has been the favorite to be the second quarterback taken.
However, the Bears don’t seem too interested in Maye, who instead could be taken by the Commanders with the second pick or the Patriots with the third pick.
Both teams are looking for their next franchise quarterback, and Maye could fill that need.
Following the NFL Combine, Jayden Daniels was the talk of the league.
The 2023 Heisman Trophy winner at LSU was fantastic in Baton Rouge and continued to impress at the Combine. However, Daniels did make waves there when he opted out of being measured and the workout portion of the event, but he did work out at the LSU pro day.
Daniels finished the 2023 season with 3,812 passing yards with 40 touchdowns while also running for 1,134 yards, showcasing his incredible dual-threat capabilities and winning the Heisman Trophy for his efforts.
Daniels is expected to make an immediate impact for whichever team he lands with. Whether that’s the Bears, Commanders, Patriots, or a different team, his accuracy and speed make him one of the most interesting players in this year’s Draft.
J.J. McCarthy's name has shot up draft boards during the months leading up to the draft. While he was not asked to do much in Michigan's run-heavy offense, he still led the team to win the National Championship and showed his ability to throw the deep ball in pre-draft workouts.
McCarthy posted 2,991 passing yards with a completion percentage of 72.3, and he threw 22 touchdowns and just four interceptions in 2023.
At the Combine, he raised eyebrows by finishing second in the arm strength competition with a 61 mile-per-hour throw.
McCarthy has never thrown for more than 3,000 yards in a season, but his calmness under pressure, winning track record and ability to manage a game will help him adjust to the professional level.
In the midst of a quarterback battle, Marvin Harrison Jr. remains a projected top-five pick in this year’s draft.
In just 11 games last season, Harrison Jr. finished with 1,093 receiving yards and 13 receiving touchdowns. He is widely considered the best receiver in the draft, and the Patriots have been keeping a close eye on him.
However, if the Bears surprise everyone and take Harrison Jr. as the first overall pick, he would become the first receiver to be taken with the top pick since Keyshawn Johnson in 1996.
That doesn’t seem too likely since the Bears appear to be set on a quarterback, so Harrison Jr. is expected to land with either the Patriots at the third pick or the Cardinals with the fourth.
The former Ohio State receiver has been compared to Calvin Johnson because of his size and athleticism. He is going to become an immediate threat in whatever offense he lands in, so it will be very interesting to see where Harrison Jr. ends up.
Read more: NFL Draft dates, schedule, venue, history, and more
Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.