2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick Odds: Manning the early favorite

The 2025 NFL Draft is now complete, and it's never too early to look ahead to the next draft.

Here, we have the latest odds for the player to be selected with the No. 1 Overall Pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Overall Pick Odds

Arch Manning	+200
Drew Allar	+240
Garrett Nussmeier	+500
Cade Klubnik	+1200
LaNorris Sellers	+2200
Caleb Downs	+2500
Keldric Faulk	+2500
TJ Parker	+2500
Carson Beck	+3000

Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning (+200) is the favorite to be picked first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, with just about a year to go until draft day.

Manning, nephew of legendary NFL QBs Peyton and Eli Manning, got his first substantial taste of College Football last season. He appeared in 10 games and started twice, posting a 67.8 percent completion rate, 939 passing yards, a 9-2 TD-INT ratio, 108 rushing yards, and four rushing TDs on 25 attempts.

Entering his third season at Texas, Manning has long been viewed as a future No. 1 overall pick. Since the 2025 draft was short on future franchise QBs, there could be a race to the bottom during the 2025 NFL regular season in an effort to secure Manning's services.

Penn State QB Drew Allar (+240) is the second-favorite to be taken first overall in 2026 after leading his team to the College Football Playoff. Allar will have three seasons as a starter under his belt by the time the 2026 draft rolls around, and he improved from year one to year two. If he continues to get better, he could rival Manning for the top pick.

LSU QB Garrett Nussmeier (+500) is third in the betting. He had an encouraging first year as a starter in 2024, throwing for over 4,052 yards and a 29-12 TD-INT ratio while completing 64.2 percent of his passes. He'll look to level up his play against SEC opponents this season. His father, Doug Nussmeier, is the offensive coordinator for the New Orleans Saints, who have a decent shot at picking near the top of next season's draft.

Clemson QB Cade Klubnik (+1200) is the only player with odds between 5/1 and 22/1. He raised his game in 2024, his second year as the starter, completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 3,639 yards and a 36-6 TD-INT ratio in 14 games. He also led his team to the ACC Championship and the College Football Playoff, and similar to many QBs on this list, he'll look to raise his level against the nation's best teams.

Fifth in the market to go first overall is South Carolina QB LaNorris Sellers (+2200). Sellers improved as the 2024 season went on, leading his team to impressive wins over Oklahoma, Texas A&M, and Clemson. A dual-threat under center, Sellers completed 65.6 percent of his passes for 2,534 yards and an 18-7 TD-INT ratio while rushing 166 times for 674 yards and seven TDs.

Three players are tied for sixth in the odds, and they share the status of being the non-QBs with the shortest odds to be picked first at +2500 each. Those players are Ohio State safety Caleb Downs, Auburn edge rusher Keldric Faulk, and Clemson edge rusher TJ Parker.

If Downs is drafted first, he would be the first safety ever to be taken first overall.

Further back in the market are Miami QB Carson Beck (+3000), UCLA QB Dante Moore (+3500), USC QB Jayden Maiava (+3500), LSU linebacker Harold Perkins Jr. (+4000), Louisville QB Miller Moss (+4000), and Utah offensive tackle Spencer Fano (+4000).

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Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.