The Detroit Lions visit the Houston Texans on Sunday night for one of the key matchups of the Week 10 slate.
Detroit is 4-0 on the road this season while the Texans are 4-0 at home, but Dan Campbell's Lions are favored as they arrive in Texas with a 7-1 overall record.
The Texans are 6-3 and have a clear lead in the AFC South but they have not yet looked like the team that finished the 2023 season on a high note.
The Lions are on a six-game winning streak after their 24-14 win over the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field last week, while the Texans are looking to bounce back after their disappointing 21-13 loss to the New York Jets in the Week 9 Thursday night game.
The teams have met only five times, with the Texans winning the last four, most recently securing a 41-25 road win in the 2020 season.
The Detroit Lions have been going from strength to strength in recent weeks and now have their sights set on securing the top seed for the playoffs in the NFC.
Three weeks ago, Dan Campbell's team made a statement in the NFC North by ending the Minnesota Vikings' unbeaten start to the season with a 31-29 victory and they followed that by crushing the Tennessee Titans 52-14.
Last week they came through another serious test of their credentials when going to Lambeau Field for their first outdoor game of the season and racking up their fourth road win of the campaign against the Green Bay Packers by a score of 24-14.
The Lions were favored by just over a field goal for that matchup and have similar odds for their next challenge against the Texans.
Houston went on an incredible run at the end of last season and reached the divisional round of the playoffs, but they have not really shown the same spark this time around despite leading the AFC South with a solid 6-3 record.
Their most notable win was over the Buffalo Bills, but two of their three losses have come against the Vikings and the Packers, fellow NFC North teams that the Lions have done much better against.
The Texans offense really struggled against the New York Jets, with quarterback CJ Stroud completing only 11/30 pass attempts as receptions by Tank Dell accounted for 126 of his 191 passing yards.
Stefon Diggs is out for the season and while Nico Collins hopes to return this week after a spell on injured reserve with a hamstring injury, it might be wise not to expect too much from him even if he suits up.
The Lions are showing no signs of slowing down and should be hard to beat as they return to indoor play at NRG Stadium.
The Texans defense struggled to cope with the Jets' top receivers last week as Davante Adams and Garrett Wilson combined for 181 yards from 16 receptions, and Detroit's Amon-Ra St. Brown should be able to excel against them too.
St. Brown had a quiet game two weeks ago, when Lions QB Jared Goff needed to make only 15 pass attempts as they crushed the Titans 52-14 and his star receiver caught just two balls for seven yards, although one of them was a touchdown.
He has also had some fantastic games, though, with 119 receiving yards against the Buccaneers, 75 against the Cardinals and 112 against the Vikings, and he has scored a touchdown in six successive games.
The Texans' star pass-rusher Will Anderson Jr., suffered an ankle injury against the Jets and his participation is in doubt, so Goff could feel less pressure in the pocket.
Last week, our advice was to back Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs to have a rush of at least 16 yards against the Packers and that bet cashed thanks to an 18-yard play.
It may be worth taking the same approach again as the speedy Gibbs is capable of breaking a big run against any defense in the league.
He had a 70-yard run in the first quarter of the Titans game and has failed to beat this line only twice this season, with a best effort of eight yards against the Los Angeles Rams and 15 against the Dallas Cowboys.
In other games his longest runs have been 24, 18, 20, 45, 70 and 18 yards, and the Texans could struggle to contain him too.
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Detroit Lions | -190 ML |
Houston Texans | +160 ML |
Spread | Lions -3.5 |
Total Points | U/O 49.0 |
Joe Mixon (Houston Texans) | -175 |
David Montgomery (Detroit Lions) | -125 |
Jahmyr Gibbs (Detroit Lions) | -110 |
Amon-Ra St Brown (Detroit Lions) | +120 |
Tank Dell (Houston Texans) | +160 |
Sam LaPorta (Detroit Lions) | +175 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.