Week 10 of the NFL season kicks off with the Washington Commanders visiting MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants.
The Commanders are in must-win territory after falling to 2-5-1 last week. They failed to beat their NFC East rival Giants last month, and a loss here could all but end Washington's playoff hopes.
New York, meanwhile, will look to maintain its lead at the top of the division, where it sits at 5-2-1. This Thursday Night Football game will have a huge say in the NFC East shakeup by season's end.
The Commanders and Giants tied 27-27 earlier in the season, but Washington's horrific game management cost them the chance to kick the winning field goal in overtime.
Things haven't gotten much better for Dan Quinn's team since then, as they've lost to the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams, leaving their playoff chances slimmer by the day.
Realistically, the Commanders need to beat their NFC East rivals to keep their postseason hopes alive, but it's hard to have much faith in Washington getting the job done.
The road team's only two wins this season were a shock success against the Seattle Seahawks and a victory over the 2-7 Philadelphia Eagles, who had backup Tanner McKee under center.
Jayden Daniels hasn't been particularly bad this year, as he hasn't thrown an interception, but his offense hasn't made a major impact. He has thrown only seven touchdowns in six games, and his team has averaged just 19.4 points over its last five games.
That could be an issue against a Giants defense which ranks in the top 10 for EPA per play this year. New York has allowed only 177.8 yards per game through the air, ranking third behind the Seahawks and Vikings, widely recognized as the league's two best defenses.
With J.J. McCarthy and Cam Skattebo both expected to play after shaking off injuries, it's tough to see a route to victory for the Commanders.
New York has covered the spread in six of its eight games this season and looks like a solid bet to add to that tally at MetLife.
The Giants' Malik Nabers ranks 11th in the league with 648 receiving yards and New York's biggest threat looks a solid bet to score a touchdown in this NFC East showdown.
The Commanders have struggled to stop the pass, and opponents have averaged 240 yards per game through the air this season. With McCarthy having shaken off a hip injury, expect him to look to Nabers as often as possible.
The 23-year-old scored a touchdown when these two teams met earlier in the year and is worth sticking with to snag another.
Quarterback has been a concern for the Giants throughout the season, with Jaxson Dart going down with a season-ending knee injury early in the year.
Since then, Jameis Winston and J.J. McCarthy have shared the load but with the former struggling last week, expect the latter to start despite a hip injury.
McCarthy's hip issue means that offensive coordinator Matt Nagy is unlikely to call many designed run plays for his young quarterback and the under is appealing as a result.
The former Viking is averaging only 12.5 rushing yards per game, so the 17.5 line looks high.
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Washington Commanders | +118 |
New York Giants | -138 |
Spread | NY Giants -2.5 |
Total Points | O/U 41.5 |
Cam Skattebo (NY Giants) | +120 |
Malik Nabers (NY Giants) | +155 |
Rachaad White (WAS Commanders) | +165 |
Isiah Likely (NY Giants) | +190 |
Steffon Diggs (WAS Commanders) | +230 |
Jayden Daniels (WAS Commanders) | +255 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.