The Chicago Bears and Indianapolis Colts, who both have a young quarterback looking to establish himself as the franchise player, meet in Indiana in Week 3.
Let’s dive into our expert’s preview of this Week 3 matchup between the Bears and Colts along with his best bets for the action.
It’s a new era in Chicago as the Bears moved on from Justin Fields and drafted Caleb Williams with the first overall pick. However, it hasn’t been smooth sailing for Williams as he transitions from college football to the NFL.
He looked like a true rookie in Week 1 against the Tennessee Titans and didn’t deserve the win since he didn’t do much on offense, but the Bears defense carried him to his first NFL victory.
The defense couldn’t do it two weeks in a row though since the Houston Texans beat the Bears 19-13 in a game that neither offense looked good in. Williams failed to record his first touchdown yet again and lowered his completion rate to just 56.1%, so not only is he not getting the ball to the end zone, he’s barely getting it into his receiver’s hands.
A big reason for that is Williams’ inability to handle the rush. The Texans pressured Williams throughout the game and the rookie looked flustered in the pocket. Unfortunately for Williams, his weaknesses have been pretty obvious in just two weeks.
Anthony Richardson has some high expectations this season. The Florida product missed most of last season due to a shoulder injury after showing signs of brilliance in his limited time on the field.
Indy brought back Michael Pittman since he appeared to be Richardson’s favorite target to pair with Jonathan Taylor in the backfield to create a very respectable offense.
But, the Colts are 0-2 entering Week 3. Neither loss has been worrisome though since they nearly took down the Texans in Week 1 and then Green Bay Packers QB Malik Willis had the best game of his career as he stepped in for the injured Jordan Love in Week 2.
If Indy had won just one of those games, I think the spread for this game would have been closer to a field goal. There’s a lot of value getting the Colts to pick up their first win of the year on their home turf with such a small spread.
The Colts managed just 10 points last week because Richardson struggled through the air and threw three interceptions. It limited the amount of touches that Taylor had, but the star running back still managed to have 103 rushing yards on just 12 carries. With that in mind, the Colts may be more inclined to put the ball in Taylor’s hands on Sunday.
The Bears secondary has been solid through two games as they rank 10th in opponent completion percentage and have two picks already. They made life very difficult for Will Levis in Week 1 and besides a few long shots to Nico Collins, the Bears defense was decent defending C.J. Stroud.
That leads me to believe that Taylor could be in for a game where he sees 22+ touches. If Indy keeps the ball on the ground, that will lead to a lot of long possessions with a running clock.
One other major concern on offense for the Bears is their running game. D’Andre Swift hasn’t done much on the ground and Williams isn’t the type of quarterback that is looking to run.
That’s led to a lot of quick drives and incomplete passes for Williams. With that said, we should see a lot more of Swift and Khalil Herbet on Sunday.
The Colts defense has been absolutely terrible at stopping the run this season as Joe Mixon ran for 159 yards on 30 carries in Week 1 and then Josh Jacobs totaled 151 yards on 32 carries last week.
The Bears are going to put emphasis on the run game early on to try and break down the Colts defense to take some pressure off of Williams. With both teams trying to exploit the opponent's rush defense, take this game to sneak under the 43.5-point total.
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Chicago Bears | -105 ML |
Indianapolis Colts | -115 ML |
Spread | IND Colts -1.0 |
Total Points | O/U 43.5 |
Jonathan Taylor (IND Colts) | -120 |
D’Andre Swift (CHI Bears) | +125 |
Anthony Richardson (IND Colts) | +120 |
D.J. Moore (CHI Bears) | +160 |
Rome Odunze (CHI Bears) | +250 |
Keenan Allen (CHI Bears) | +250 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.