Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins started their 2024 NFL campaigns with victories in Week 1 and the two AFC East rivals will meet in what should be a thrilling encounter this week.

The Buffalo Bills have won the AFC East four years in a row and have made the playoffs five straight seasons. The Miami Dolphins have reached the postseason each of the past two years. Both teams have emerged from the New England Patriots’ long-standing shadow in this division, and both have postseason aspirations again this year.

Buffalo (1-0) travels to Miami (1-0) Thursday night in the first division matchup for either team. The Bills have dominated the Dolphins in recent years, winning 11 of the past 12 contests between the two teams.

Below are our experts’ picks and predictions for the contest.

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins betting picks and predictions

Bills +1.5 (-110) 

The Bills have a new-look wide receiver corps minus star Stefon Diggs in 2024, but regardless, Buffalo always seems to find a way to win over the Dolphins. They’ve even won in Miami four of the past five trips down south.

Until Miami can show otherwise, the Bills deserve the benefit of the doubt.

Miami is 9-2 straight up in its last 11 games at home, but one of those two losses came at the hands of the Bills. Buffalo showed in Week 1 that it is still quite capable of moving the ball down the field even without Diggs.

Josh Allen went 18/23 for 232 yards, two touchdowns and no interception passing while adding another 39 yards and two scores on the ground in Buffalo’s 34-28 victory over the Arizona Cardinals.

Buffalo overcame a 14-point first-half deficit and scored three touchdowns in the second half to get the win.

Look for Allen to get even more comfortable with new favorite target Keon Coleman and keep Buffalo’s recent success against the Dolphins alive.

Over 50.5 total points (-110)

There may be a pause here as Miami looked stunted offensively throughout its 20-17 win over Jacksonville at home in Week 1, and these teams only combined for 35 points in Miami last season.

However, after shaking the regular season dust off, both teams will be looking to make an early division statement, and Miami will want to press the issue after so many defeats at the hands of the Bills.

Even with all the pregame drama, the Dolphins’ Tyreek Hill still had seven catches for 130 yards and a touchdown in the win, while teammate Jaylen Waddle added five catches for 109 yards himself.

Hill was held in check against the Bills last season, totaling 140 yards receiving in two games, so he will be looking to make a statement as well.

This has that 27-24 kind of feel to it for a nice September barnburner. Look for the two AFC East contenders to total Over 50.5 points.

Josh Allen 250+ passing yards (+105)

Allen likes playing Miami. He averaged 339.5 yards passing in two wins over Miami last season. And, despite the loss of Diggs and Gabe Davis, Allen has quickly gotten comfortable with his current stable of receivers. This could be a breakout game for rookie wideout Coleman, or Khalil Shakir could go over 100 yards receiving against Miami, like he did last season in Miami. 

The threat of Allen running will keep Miami’s defense honest and passing lanes reasonably open for him to throw for more than 250 yards. 

Tyreek Hill 100+ receiving yards (-110)

Look for wide receiver Hill to make a statement after a fairly quiet performance against Buffalo last year.

During a season where Hill totaled 119 catches for 1,799 yards and 13 touchdowns, he had just a combined 10 catches for 140 yards and one score in two games against Buffalo. These are not bad numbers for sure, but not Hill numbers.

Look for Hill to get closer to his usual output and total more than 100 yards receiving. 

Read more betting picks and predictions for the NFL on site.

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins odds 

BUF Bills	+105 ML
MIA Dolphins	-125 ML
Spread	Dolphins -1.5
Total Points	O/U 50.5

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins player props

Anytime Touchdown

Josh Allen	-120
Tyreek Hill	-125
De'Von Achane	+110
Raheem Mostert	+120
James Cook	+150
Jaylen Waddle	+160
Keon Coleman	+187

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.