New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

Partner Authors Updated: Aug 24 2024 17:23

The New York Mets and San Diego Padres will continue a four-game series when they meet again at Petco Park in San Diego on Saturday night.

They split the first two matchups, with the Mets prevailing 8-3 in the opener before the Padres rolled 7-0 on Friday.

Let’s take a look at the odds and best bets to make for Saturday’s contest.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres betting picks and predictions

San Diego Padres ML over New York Mets (-150)

The Padres are an amazing 23-8 since the all-star break, surging into contention in the National League West (4.5 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers) while, at worst, putting themselves in great shape to secure a wild-card spot in the postseason.

They have lost only one series since the break while winning the other nine.

San Diego should position itself to take this series against New York by getting the job done on Saturday. Michael King is taking the mound, and he has been outstanding throughout the 2024 campaign, compiling an 11-6 record and a 3.18 ERA.

The right-hander has racked up 167 strikeouts in 141.1 innings of work. He has been especially red hot over the past three months, recording a 2.67 ERA in June, a 1.82 ERA in July and a 2.65 ERA so far in August. King has made quality starts in five of his last six appearances.

David Peterson has also been throwing the ball well for New York, but he has walked at least three batters in five of his last seven starts and has given up home runs in four of his previous eight. That’s a dangerous recipe going into an outing against a potent Padres lineup. Backing San Diego on the run line is the way to play this one.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Over 7.5 (-115)

The Padres have scored at least seven runs in four of their last five victories; the only exception during this stretch is when they crossed the plate five times during a win over Minnesota on Monday. Xander Bogaerts, Jackson Merrill and David Peralta are all batting over .300 since the all-star break.

Although the Mets’ bats hit the snooze button on Friday against Joe Musgrove, they had scored 17 runs in their previous three contests. Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Mark Vientos are all hitting .300 or better over the past week. Lindor is batting .337 in August with a whopping 11 multi-hit performances, including three in the last four games.

Even though both starting pitchers are solid, 7.5 is not a big number. There should be just enough offense to take this game over the total.

Best player prop bet: Manny Machado (SDP) Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-120)

Machado delivered three base knocks on Friday, so his confidence should be high at the moment. San Diego’s star third baseman is 2-for-8 lifetime against Peterson.

That’s nothing special, of course, but it’s also not bad, and at least he has gotten plenty of at-bats in the matchup and should, therefore, be comfortable at the plate against this particular pitcher.

It’s a righty-vs. lefty matchup, too. Machado actually has a better average against left-handers this season, but last year, he hit .308 against left-handers compared to .241 against righties. In general, you always have to like his matchup with a southpaw toeing the rubber.

Following yesterday’s performance, Machado should be in line for another productive effort.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres odds

New York Mets	+125 ML
San Diego Padres	-150 ML
Run Line	San Diego -1.5
Total	O/U 7.5

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres player props

Player Home Run Odds

Francisco Lindor (New York Mets)	+500
Mark Vientos (New York Mets)	+500
Pete Alonso (New York Mets)	+550
Manny Machado (San Diego Padres)	+500
Kyle Higashioka (San Diego Padres)	+600
Jake Cronenworth (San Diego Padres)	+850

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.