Georgia vs. Ole Miss: Picks, Predictions and Odds

The No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (7-1, 5-1 SEC) face a significant SEC road test in Week 11, traveling to Oxford, Mississippi, to play the No. 16 Ole Miss Rebels (7-2, 3-2 SEC).

Georgia, a perennial national title contender, narrowly escaped a close call against Florida last week and comes in as a 2.5-point favorite.

Ole Miss, meanwhile, is fresh off an explosive offensive performance against Arkansas and will look to pull off a marquee win in front of its home crowd at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM ET on ABC/ESPN+.

Georgia vs. Ole Miss betting picks and predictions

Georgia -2.5 (-110)

After a challenging rivalry game against Florida, Georgia heads into another tough matchup. Although they came out on top against the Gators, 34-20, it wasn’t without flaws. 

Quarterback Carson Beck threw three interceptions, bringing his season total to 11. Although the Bulldogs ultimately prevailed, Beck’s inconsistency has been a recurring theme, and it nearly cost them in a game where Florida was forced to rely on a third-string quarterback for the second half. 

This has led to some uncertainty around Georgia’s offensive stability, especially against quality SEC opponents. Despite these concerns, Georgia’s defense has shown the ability to step up when needed, containing Florida’s scoring opportunities down the stretch.

However, one statistic stands out: Georgia’s inability to cover the spread. The Bulldogs have only covered once since their season-opening 34-3 win over Clemson. Their single ATS victory came in their dominant 30-15 road win over Texas. 

This is a worrying trend for bettors backing Georgia, but it’s worth noting that Ole Miss has had similar struggles with covering spreads — their 63-31 blowout over Arkansas was only their second cover in five SEC games.

Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart, who has thrown for 3,210 yards with 21 touchdowns and just three interceptions on the season, poses a serious threat to Georgia’s secondary.

Dart has been in top form, with nine touchdowns and just one interception over his last five games. He is also coming off a phenomenal performance, racking up 515 yards and six touchdowns against Arkansas.

The Rebels’ ability to execute against Georgia’s disciplined defense, which excels at containing explosive plays, especially if top receiver Tre Harris is limited or unable to play, will be critical. In particular, Georgia’s defensive line, which dismantled Texas’s offensive front, poses a serious challenge for Ole Miss’s protection scheme. This battle in the trenches will likely be a deciding factor.

Ole Miss’s offense averages an impressive 37.9 points and 7.3 yards per play, but it will face arguably the toughest defense it’s encountered this season. Georgia ranks sixth nationally in third-down stops, allowing just 28 percent of conversions. 

If the Bulldogs manage to disrupt Dart’s rhythm early, they could force Ole Miss to rely on its ground game. With leading rusher Harry Parrish Jr. sidelined and wide receiver Harris potentially playing through an injury, the Rebels may have to overcome significant offensive limitations.

Given the stakes, Georgia’s defensive front and pass rush could prove too much for Ole Miss to handle, making the Bulldogs a strong choice even as road favorites.

Under 55.0 Total Points (-110)

While Ole Miss is known for putting up big numbers, it’s worth noting that they have gone under the total in all but one of their games against FBS opponents this season — the exception being their 63-point outburst against Arkansas.

Meanwhile, Georgia has gone under in five of eight games. This matchup pits two of the top defenses in the SEC against each other, which suggests a slower, more controlled game script.

A major factor contributing to the Under bet is Beck’s inconsistency under pressure. When Beck faces defensive pressure, his completion rate plummets to 36 percent, with an 8.5 percent interception rate.

Beck’s decision-making struggles have been evident, as he’s thrown multiple interceptions in key moments. With Ole Miss ranking fourth nationally in pressure rate, we can expect the Rebels to exploit this vulnerability and force Beck into quick, conservative throws or potential mistakes.

As a result, Georgia’s offense may adopt a run-heavy approach and limit explosive plays, reducing the chances of a high-scoring shootout.

On the other side of the ball, Georgia’s defense has been stellar at eliminating opponents' big plays, ranking 19th nationally in explosive play prevention.

Given the injuries affecting Ole Miss’s offensive weapons, especially Parrish Jr. and Harris, the Bulldogs are well-positioned to control the tempo and stifle the Rebels’ offensive rhythm.

If Georgia’s defensive front can effectively contain Dart, Ole Miss will be forced to adapt, and any reliance on short-yardage plays will eat up clock time, further supporting the Under.

Furthermore, Ole Miss has struggled to maintain its high-octane offense against top-tier defenses. Against SEC opponents like Kentucky and LSU, Ole Miss’s explosive play rate has dropped from 29.4 percent against non-conference teams to just 13.9 percent in the SEC. 

While Georgia has struggled to cover spreads consistently this season, the Bulldogs’ defense and experience in high-stakes games give them an edge in keeping Ole Miss’s high-flying offense in check.

A disciplined defensive front, coupled with a conservative offensive approach to protect Beck, could easily lead to a grinding, lower-scoring affair.

Given both teams’ tendency to go under the total this season, Under 55.0 points looks like a solid play in this clash between SEC heavyweights.

Read more betting picks and predictions for College Football on site.

Georgia vs. Ole Miss odds

Georgia	-140 ML
Texas	+120 ML
Spread	Georgia -2.5
Total Points	O/U 55.0

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.