LSU vs. Florida Women: Picks, Predictions and Odds

The SEC Tournament continues Friday night with a quarterfinal matchup between the No. 3 seed LSU Tigers and No. 11 seed Florida Gators at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, South Carolina.

The game tips off at 8:30 PM ET on SEC Network. LSU is heavily favored after a dominant regular season, while Florida aims to keep its Cinderella run alive.

Florida enters this contest fresh off back-to-back tournament wins, including a stunning upset over No. 6 seed Alabama in a grueling 63-61 battle. The Gators have relied on standout performances from guard Liv McGill and center Ra Shaya Kyle to defy expectations. 

However, they now face a major test against a rested LSU squad ranked No. 9 in the country, boasting a deep and talented roster led by Aneesah Morrow, Flau’Jae Johnson and Mikaylah Williams. 

LSU handled Florida with ease in their lone regular-season meeting, winning 80-63. With the Tigers looking to regain momentum after an inconsistent finish to the season, let’s break down the best bets for this SEC showdown.

LSU vs. Florida Women betting picks and predictions

LSU -13.5 (-110)

LSU may have stumbled down the stretch, losing three of its final five regular-season games, but this is a prime opportunity for the Tigers to assert themselves as an elite contender. 

Florida’s impressive tournament run has been fueled by aggressive interior play and McGill’s offensive explosion, but the Gators are now playing their third game in three days, while LSU is well-rested and ready to impose its physicality.

One key factor in LSU’s favor is its dominance inside. When these teams met in the regular season, LSU outscored Florida 40-24 in the paint and forced 24 turnovers. 

The Tigers rank third in the nation in offensive rebounding, while Florida sits just 169th in defensive rebounding. This means LSU should have a significant edge in second-chance points, allowing them to wear down an already fatigued Gators squad. Morrow, the nation’s leading rebounder, is primed to feast in this matchup.

Defensively, LSU’s pressure will be a major challenge for Florida. The Gators have struggled with turnovers all season, and LSU’s athleticism can disrupt their rhythm, forcing bad shots and limiting clean looks at the rim. 

Florida was able to control the tempo against Alabama, but LSU plays a similar style with more efficiency and star power. The Tigers’ ability to execute in transition and capitalize on Florida’s mistakes should lead to a comfortable double-digit victory.

Moreover, Florida’s losses this season paint a clear picture – 10 of its 16 defeats have come by more than 14 points. 

Against top-tier SEC competition, the Gators have struggled to keep games close, and given the quick turnaround from the previous night’s emotional win, it’s hard to see them maintaining their high level of play for 40 more minutes.

 LSU’s fresh legs and superior talent make the Tigers the right side to cover the spread at -13.5.

Over 153.5 Total Points (-110)

While neither team relies heavily on three-point shooting, both play at a fast pace, attack the rim and generate frequent trips to the free-throw line – all factors that can contribute to a high-scoring game. 

LSU ranks 16th in defensive efficiency, but their aggressive approach can lead to fouls, putting Florida at the stripe and keeping the scoreboard moving. Similarly, Florida’s defense has been inconsistent this season, ranking just 94th nationally, and could struggle to slow down LSU’s offensive weapons.

The first meeting between these teams finished with 143 total points despite Florida’s struggles in the turnover department. In this rematch, Florida’s confidence on offense, especially with McGill as a scoring threat, suggests they can put up a more competitive fight.

LSU, meanwhile, should have no trouble finding offense against a Gators defense that ranks 158th in two-point defense and struggles to keep opponents off the glass.

One of the biggest reasons to expect the Over is the sheer volume of possessions. Both teams push the pace, and with Florida’s frontcourt likely to tire in the second half, LSU could take advantage with transition buckets and put-back opportunities. 

Even if LSU dominates, Florida’s ability to generate second-chance points against LSU’s subpar defensive rebounding could keep their offense afloat. With free throws, offensive rebounds and transition points all playing a role, this game has all the makings of an over.

Expect LSU to dictate the tempo, control the paint and ultimately pull away for a convincing victory. However, Florida’s fight and offensive potential should help this game surpass the 153.5 total, making the Over another strong play in this SEC Tournament clash.

Read more betting picks and predictions for College Basketball on site.

LSU vs. Florida Women odds

LSU	-1600 ML
Florida	+800 ML
Spread	LSU -13.5
Total Points	O/U 153.5

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.