Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets Game 4: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

It took a lot of effort and some strong performances from many of their secondary stars, but the Denver Nuggets secured a 2-1 lead in this series with an overtime victory in Game 3 to put themselves in the driving seat to reach the Western Conference finals.

They will be eager to build up a two-game advantage by landing a second straight victory on their home court on Sunday but the Oklahoma City Thunder, who topped the West in the regular season, will be keen for the series to be level before they head back to OKC. 

The Nuggets will be hoping for more from their star man Nikola Jokic after he gave his self-assessed worst playoff performance ever in Game 3. The Serb is not one for consistent poor performances, though, and there is a strong chance he and Denver can secure the two-game advantage they desire, or at least keep things close against the Thunder at Ball Arena on Sunday. 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets betting picks and predictions

Denver Nuggets +6.5 (-110)

While basketball is obviously a sport built on team efforts rather than reliance on one player, it was still surprising to see the Nuggets win despite Jokic shooting 0-10 from three, putting up just 20 points and providing six assists. 

However, the fact they managed to win bodes well for the rest of the series as it proves they may have more depth than the Thunder, who failed to win following a poor performance from their own star. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander managed just 18 points in Game 3 but his supporting cast weren’t able to rally quite as much as the Nuggets’ secondary players. 

Denver have now covered the spread in four of their last six meetings with OKC, five of their last seven matches straight up and have won five of their last six at home. Jokic is unlikely to shoot 0-10 from three and 8-25 in total again, suggesting a +6.5 line for the Nuggets may be a touch steep. 

The huge +210 Money Line odds for Denver is tempting but Oklahoma’s stunning 43-point victory in Game 2 shows they cannot be written off entirely and it could be best to play safe on the spread. 

Aaron Gordon over 1.5 threes made (+100)

One of Denver’s supporting cast who stepped up in Game 3 was Aaron Gordon, who, in fairness, has excelled through the entirety of this series. 

Gordon’s defense always makes him an asset, but it is on the offensive end where he has impressed most of late, seeing his average points per game go from 14.7 in the regular season to 18.6 in the postseason. 

Part of the reason for that has been his impressive shooting from range, which has been at its best against the Thunder. Gordon has knocked three, two and four three-pointers in the three games in this series and he should be able to notch at least another two on Sunday. 

Chet Holmgren double double (+130)

Although Oklahoma look set for another tough night at Ball Arena, one of their many young stars could enjoy himself in Denver. 

Chet Holmgren endured an injury-hit season but he has stayed fit throughout the playoffs and seems to only be improving with regular game time, recording a double double in the last two matches of this series. 

He also seems to relish playing on the road, and also against the Nuggets. His regular season averages for points and rebounds per game of 15.0 and 8.0 rise to 17.0 and 9.7 on the road and 15.5 and 9.0 vs Denver. 

His gigantic frame means he is a constant rebound threat, grabbing 16 last time, and he has scored double-figures for points in 12 straight games, making a big price for a third straight double double worth taking. 

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets odds

OKC Thunder	-260 ML
DEN Nuggets	+210 ML
Spread	OKC Thunder -6.5
Total Points	O/U 227.5

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets player props

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC Thunder)	O/U 32.5
Nikola Jokic (DEN Nuggets)	O/U 27.5
Jalen Williams (OKC Thunder)	O/U 22.5
Jamal Murray (DEN Nuggets)	O/U 21.5
Aaron Gordon (DEN Nuggets)	O/U 16.5
Chet Holmgren (OKC Thunder)	O/U 15.5

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.