After falling 3-1 down to the Indiana Pacers, the New York Knicks were able to defend home court on Thursday to force a Game 6.
Can the Knicks produce a heist in Indiana to take the Eastern Conference Finals back to New York for a winner-take-all Game 7, or will Indiana set up a Finals clash with the OKC Thunder?
The Knicks should recognise the pattern of the Eastern Conference finals, as it is playing out incredibly similarly to their win over the Boston Celtics in the last round.
The Knicks went into TD Garden and won both away games before dropping Game 3 and responding in Game 4. They returned to a boisterous Boston crowd in Game 5, as the Celtics put it all on the line to save face at home.
The Knicks were in a similar position in their last game, needing a victory to prevent the Pacers being crowned Eastern Conference champions at Madison Square Garden. However, it's easy to see that victory turning out to be a fake rally, like the one the Celtics produced in the last round.
The Pacers have caused all kinds of problems for New York. Indiana have a more functional roster, while they've had impressive buy-in defensively from their players.
Despite that, the five games in the series have seen both teams cross 100 points on four occasions. The only team to fall short were the Pacers in Game 5, and they withdrew their stars early to turn their focus to closing out the series at home.
The Knicks traded defensive solidity for offensive options last summer, when Isaiah Hartenstein walked and they traded for Karl-Anthony Towns.
The Pacers are worthy favorites to progress, but the best way to get behind them is to back Indiana to win and both teams to cross 100 points, which has happened in each of their last 10 postseason victories.
Aaron Nesmith has been a bellwether for the Pacers' fortunes in this postseason, as he has scored at least 12 points in 10 of their 11 playoff victories, including each of their previous 10.
He's averaging 14.3 points per game in this postseason run, but he's posted eight and three points in the Game 3 and Game 5 defeats.
However, Nesmith had 16 points in the Pacers' last home game, while he had an incredible 30 points in their Game 1 win. Having crossed this points tally in 11 of his previous 14 appearances, Nesmith's line is worth backing. His tally also pairs well with the Pacers' Moneyline given how frequently they land together.
Hart's move to the bench in Game 3 helped the Knicks stay in this series, but he remains a key contributor for New York. He had a difficult time in Game 2, but outside of that, he's hit double-figures for rebounds in the other four games in the series.
Hart averaged 10.9 rebounds per game when these two sides met in last year's playoffs. Having hit double figures for rebounds in five of his previous six postseason matches, Hart is worth backing to top 9.5 rebounds in Game 6.
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Indiana Pacers | -170 ML |
New York Knicks | +145 ML |
Spread | IND Pacers -4 |
Total Points | O/U 220.0 |
Jalen Brunson (NY Knicks) | O/U 31.5 |
Karl-Anthony Towns (NY Knicks) | O/U 22.5 |
Tyrese Haliburton (IND Pacers) | O/U 21.5 |
Pascal Siakam (IND Pacers) | O/U 21.5 |
OG Anunoby (NY Knicks) | O/U 16.5 |
Mikal Bridges (NY Knicks) | O/U 15.5 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.