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Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

Just as they did in the first round of the 2023 playoffs, the Warriors travel to face the Kings in Sacramento, but this time in the Play-In Tournament for a chance to keep their playoff hopes alive.

The Western Conference play-in games begin on Tuesday night, as the No. 10 Warriors face off against No. 9 Kings. Each finished the regular season at 46-36, and the winner of the game will play the loser of Lakers-Pelicans for a shot at the 8-seed.

As long as the Warriors have Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson, Golden State continues the fight to keep the dynastic run alive that has seen them take home four championships since 2015.

On the other side, the Kings are looking to make back-to-back NBA playoff appearances after suffering a historic 16-year playoff drought from 2006-2023.

Read on to gather our experts’ picks and predictions for this game.

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings betting picks and predictions

Golden State Warriors ML (-135)

Dating back to the start of the 2021/22 NBA season, the Warriors have won 9-of-12 regular season games against the Kings plus a playoff series, four games to three, just last year when the Kings held home-court advantage as the No. 3 seed to the Warriors No. 6 seed in the first round of the NBA playoffs.

The good news for the Kings? Sacramento won the previous two regular-season meetings, albeit by one point each, to even the season series at 2-2. Unfortunately, that's the only silver lining Kings fans carry into tonight’s battle.

Following the final Kings-Warriors clash of the season on January 25, the Warriors went on to finish the season 27-13, including a 10-2 stretch to close the season, in part thanks to a newfound identity.

The Kings, however, finished just 21-18, including 4-6 to end the season, in part due to key injuries to Kevin Huerter, who remains out for the season, and Malik Monk, who is likely sidelined until the end of April.

De’Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis and the Kings’ faithful will give it their all to avenge their home playoff elimination at the hands of the Warriors last year, but given the way these two teams are trending, the Warriors’ favorable recent history against the Kings, the Warriors’ championship experience and veteran leadership and the Kings’ injuries, the Kings simply do not have enough firepower to keep Curry and Co. from reaching the next play-in game.

The Warriors are two-point favorites on the road, but we are not messing around with the spread, considering three consecutive Warriors-Kings games have been decided by one point.

Klay Thompson Over 19.5 Points (-110)

Beyond the Kings' injuries, the Warriors own a depth advantage thanks to a long list of role players who have stepped up. Whether you point to the emerging talent of Jonathan Kuminga, the size and athleticism of Trayce Jackson-Davis, the finesse skill of veteran Dario Saric or the well-rounded game of Brandin Podziemski, the contributions of these players and more have helped ease the burden on Curry, and notably, Klay Thompson.

Of course, Green and Chris Paul staying on the court helps, too, but we have seen Thompson play his best basketball in April after a tumultuous campaign that saw him coming off the bench for a portion of the year.

The 34-year-old sharpshooter may only be averaging 17.9 points per game on the season, but coinciding with the Warriors’ hot finish, Thompson posted 23.1 points per game in seven April contests, including 25+ points in four of those games.

The Kings can only do so much to keep Curry at bay, and with most of their efforts focused on limiting him, we trust the hot hand, talent and experience of Thompson to continue his elevated level of play and surpass a point total well below his career standard.

Domantas Sabonis Over 8.5 Assists (-105)

Leading the NBA in rebounds per game at 13.7 this season, in addition to being a primary frontcourt scoring option (19.4 PPG), the public often forgets the capable passing ability of the 6’10” Sabonis, but we do not.

Since acquiring Sabonis in the blockbuster deal for Tyrese Haliburton in February 2022, the Lithuanian has been increasingly instrumental with his playmaking ability, especially since the Kings have been without the services of Monk.

With Fox relied upon to score more, the Kings have played through their point forward more and more, creating a career-high in assists per game for Sabonis this season at 8.2, good for the sixth-best mark in the NBA.

While his line today is higher than his average, and the overall offensive production of the Kings has weakened with injuries, the odds value is too good to pass up on the most underrated part of Sabonis’ game. Sabonis dished 13 assists last time against Golden State and 10 in the meeting before that.

Read more betting picks and predictions for the NBA on site.

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings odds

GS Warriors

-135 ML

SAC Kings

+115 ML


GS -2


O/U 223.0

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings player props

Player Points

Stephen Curry (GS Warriors)

O/U 29.5

De’Aaron Fox (SAC Kings)

O/U 29.5

Klay Thompson (GS Warriors)

O/U 19.5

Domantas Sabonis (SAC Kings)

O/U 18.5

Keegan Murray (SAC Kings)

O/U 17.5

Andrew Wiggins (GS Warriors)

O/U 15.5

Read Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings: How to watch, TV Channel, streaming start time, injury report and stats on site.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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