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Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The Denver Nuggets, vying for the No.1 seed in the Western Conference, face the the floundering Miami Heat in a rematch of the 2023 NBA Finals.

The Nuggets (45-20) are tied for first in the West entering Wednesday night, and are among the favorites to win the 2024 NBA title and become the first repeat champions since 2018.

On the other side, the Heat (35-29) are currently situated in the Play-In, the same place they began their run to the Finals a year ago, but will hope to earn a top-six seed in this year's playoffs.

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat betting picks and predictions

Over 215.5

Denver (45-20) are at Miami (35-29) in an NBA Finals rematch and just as last season’s showpiece went the way of the Nuggets, so too should this clash at the Kaseya Center.

The reigning champions, led by two-time MVP Nikola Jokic, have won three straight and nine of their last ten as they flex their muscles with Oklahoma City and Minnesota for top spot in the West.

The Heat have lost three on the spin culminating in Sunday’s horror home loss to the lowly Wizards.

Without Tyler Herro - still missing with a foot injury - Miami will lean almost exclusively on top scorer Jimmy Butler (21.7 PPG) and ace big-man Bam Adebayo (19.9 PPG, 10.4 RPG), though there is even a question mark over ‘Buckets’ after he skipped training with an illness.

The Nuggets, in contrast, are healthy and firing, especially Jokic who, like the team around him, seems to have shifted into a different gear since the All-Star Break.

They made it three in a row with a 125-119 home success over the Raptors last time with Jokic pouring in 35 points, Jamal Murray 26 and Michael Porter Jr adding 19.

The one previous meeting this season between these teams went the way of Denver at Ball Arena, a six-point game, 103-97. The Nuggets have now won four in a row against Miami and nine of their last ten meetings.

It’s a four-point spread and that looks pretty much on the money. Denver should win but it ought to be close. The better bet is to go over 215 points, a line which the Nuggets have covered in each of their last five matches and the Heat have covered in each of their last six on home court.

Michael Porter Jr. Over 16.5 points

Michael Porter Jr heads for Florida after a sparkling performance against Toronto, a game in which he had 19 points and eight rebounds in a 125-119 win.

He is averaging 16.6 points and 7.0 rebounds but his numbers are getting better since the All-Star Break. In his last ten games since the break he is averaging 21.0 points and 7.7 rebounds and becoming a more and more important member of this powerful Nuggets side at each end of the court.

One of those games, of course, was the 103-97 win over the Heat in Denver in which Porter Jr drained 30 points and it could have been more - he was a modest four-of-ten from three-point range.

Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 rebounds

Jimmy Butler dragged down seven rebounds when these teams met in Denver two weeks ago and should be backed to cover a 5.5 spread in the rematch in Florida.

He is averaging 5.8 since returning from the All-Star Break - including ten against Oklahoma City on Friday night. That was one of four games he has taken down ten rebounds, three of which were at home.

Read more betting picks and predictions for the NBA on site.

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Odds

MIA Heat

+145 ML

DEN Nuggets

-170 ML


DEN -3.5

Total Points

O/U 215.5

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat player props

Player Points

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN)

O/U 9.5

Aaron Gordon (DEN)

O/U 13.5

Nikola Jokic (DEN)

O/U 25.5

Michael Porter Jr (DEN)

O/U 16.5

Bam Adebayo (MIA)

O/U 19.5

Jimmy Butler (MIA)

O/U 21.5

Read Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets: How to watch, TV Channel, streaming start time, injury report and stats on site.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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