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Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 4: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The Lakers’ season is all but over, as they head into Game 4 of their series against the Denver Nuggets aiming to avoid another sweep. The defending champion Nuggets blew LA away 4-0 in last season’s Conference Finals and they’re on course to repeat that in this season’s first round.

The Lakers have now lost 11 consecutive encounters with the Nuggets, with a 12th potentially on the cards on Saturday night. 

Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 4 betting picks and predictions

Denver Nuggets -1 3rd Quarter Spread (-115)

The key in this series so far has been the third quarter, as the Lakers have had strong starts before being reeled in by the champions after half-time.

The Nuggets have so many strong offensive options and coach Michael Malone has done well to position them to hurt the Lakers in the third quarter. That’s resulted in the Nuggets winning every third quarter in the series so far.

The Nuggets outscored LA 32-18 in the third in Game 1, before a 25-20 third quarter set them up for a comeback win in Game 2. The Nuggets also had work to do after half-time in Game 3, but a comprehensive 34-22 scoreline in the third put them back in charge of the game.

It’s hard to see what adjustments the Lakers can make in Game 4 to prevent another surge after half-time from Denver. Given that, look to the Nuggets at -1 on the 3rd Quarter spread at -115.

Denver Nuggets to win and both teams to score 100 points (+110)

While the Lakers are on a long losing streak against Denver, the games have been fairly competitive. There are plenty of similarities between the pair, given how they shun three-point shooting to work in the paint. Unfortunately for the Lakers, the Nuggets simply have more quality across the court.

Across the Nuggets’ 11-game winning run against the Lakers, both teams have cracked 100 points on 10 occasions. The only exception came in Game 2 of this series when the Lakers were beaten 101-99 in Denver.

Across their home losses in that streak, the Lakers have scored a minimum of 105 points per game. LeBron James and Anthony Davis can cause plenty of problems for Denver, but they struggle to shut the champions down, so back the Nuggets to win and give up at least 100 points. 

Anthony Davis to score 30+ points (+155)

Davis has been the top scorer in all three games of this series so far, posting over 30 points in each. For all Nikola Jokic’s talents, he’s not the most committed defender. Given that he’s really the only player on the Nuggets roster who can match up with AD, the Lakers’ center has a favourable matchup offensively.

Davis has posted scores of 32, 32 and 33 so far, which makes his pregame line of over 26.5 points look appealing. However, the efficient manner of his scoring suggests he is in line for another 30-point game.

AD has made only one three-pointer across the last two games and he’s still hit 30 points, having made 14 shots from the field in both games. Given that he’s always likely to get to the free-throw line, Davis should be good to hit 30 points once again. 

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Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 4 odds

Denver Nuggets

-180

Los Angeles Lakers

+150

Spread

Nuggets -4.0

Total Points

O/U 218.0

Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers Game 4 player props

Player Points

Nikola Jokic (DEN Nuggets)

O/U 26.5

LeBron James (LA Lakers)

O/U 26.5

Anthony Davis (LA Lakers)

O/U 26.5

Jamal Murray (DEN Nuggets)

O/U 23.5

Michael Porter Jr (DEN Nuggets)

O/U 17.5

Aaron Gordon (DEN Nuggets)

O/U 15.5

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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