Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The Orlando Magic host the Atlanta Hawks to open the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament on Tuesday evening at 7:30 PM.

The Magic, the No. 7 seed, host No. 8 seed Atlanta two days after the same two teams closed the regular season, with the Hawks defeating Orlando 117-105 in an inconsequential game as both teams sat their starters.

The winner clinches the seventh seed and a first-round matchup in the playoffs against the Boston Celtics.

The loser hosts a game Thursday evening against the winner of Wednesday’s Play-In game between the Chicago Bulls and Miami Heat. The game on Thursday will determine the No. 8 seed and the right to play the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Atlanta and Orlando split their four games this season.

Magic star Paolo Banchero averaged more than 33 points and eight rebounds in the three contests he played in, while Franz Wagner went for exactly 28 points. Atlanta guard Trae Young averaged more than 28 points and dished out eight assists per contest.

Who will win the season’s rubber match? Read below to see our expert predictions.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic betting picks and predictions

Orlando Magic -5.5 (-110)

Orlando’s top-ranked scoring defense (103.5 ppg) matches up against Atlanta’s sixth-ranked scoring offense (118.2 ppg) at the most important end of the court, as the two sides are near the league’s worst at the opposite end. 

Banchero, the 2023/24 Wilt Chamberlain Rookie of the Year, leads the Magic with 25.9 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. He missed nearly two and a half months of the season but has gotten stronger toward the end of the campaign.

Wagner, who’s topped 20 points in each of his last 12 appearances, is second on the team with 24.2 points per game.

Atlanta counters with four-time All-Star Young, who leads the league with 11.6 assists to go with 24.2 points per game.

Caris LeVert is averaging 14.9 points since coming over from Cleveland, 2024 No. 1 overall pick Zaccharie Risacher is scoring 12.6 points, Onyeka Okongwu is contributing 13.4 points and 8.9 rebounds per game, and Dyson Daniels is averaging 14.1 points, 5.9 rebounds, and a league-high three steals per contest.

The Magic are 32-16 straight up as the favorite this season, while Atlanta is just 21-30 as a dog.

Neither team is going to blow you away with their against-the-spread or straight-up records. Atlanta is 19-22 straight up away and 22-19 ATS, while Orlando is 22-19 straight up and ATS at home.

This matchup comes down to whether Young can create enough options for his teammates inside against Banchero, Wagner, and Wendell Carter Jr.

Throw out the regular season finale, which tells you nothing since neither team played its best players. 

The fact is, the Magic want this win so they can face Boston, a team they know they can beat, having won two out of three games against the defending NBA Champions this season.

Look for Orlando to win and cover the 5.5-point spread as favorites.

Paolo Banchero Over 29.5 Points (-120)

Banchero was impressive against the Hawks this season, scoring 31 points or more in all three contests he played in.

He tallied 31 in a 112-106 loss at home in February, 36 in a 114-108 victory in Atlanta 10 days later, and 33 points a week ago in a 119-112 win.

With Clint Capela out since mid-March with a ligament injury in his left hand, the Hawks will need to counter inside with Okongwu and Mouhamed Gouye, but neither can hang with the talented 6-foot-10, 250-pound Banchero for the entirety of the matchup. 

Look for Banchero to tally Over 29.5 points against Atlanta for the fourth time this season.

Over 216.5 Total Points (-110)

Orlando is certainly happier when they are keeping teams at or around 100 points, but these teams have tallied Over 216.5 points in each of their four contests this season.

The Hawks have played to the Over 49 times in 82 games, including four of their last five contests. Orlando has played to the Under 47 times this season, but has gone above the total in four of its last six games. 

Atlanta is going to do everything it can to push the pace, and Orlando will have no problem scoring against the Hawks. Look for the two teams to total Over 216.5 points.

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Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic odds

Atlanta Hawks	+165 ML
Orlando Magic	-200 ML
Spread	ORL Magic -5.5
Total Points	O/U 216.5

Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic player props

Player Points

Trae Young (ATL Hawks)	O/U 26.5
Onyeka Okongwu (ATL Hawks)	O/U 14.5
Zaccarie Risacher (ATL Hawks)	O/U 5.5
Paolo Banchero (ORL Magic)	O/U 29.5
Franz Wagner (ORL Magic)	O/U 25.5
Wendell Carter Jr. (ORL Magic)	O/U 10.5

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.