Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett: UFC 314 Picks, Predictions and Odds

UFC 314 is set to feature a huge Lightweight Co-Main Event between Michael Chandler and Paddy Pimblett.

The event is scheduled for Saturday, April 12th at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida.

The action will get underway at 6:00 PM ET with the Early Preliminaries, followed by the Preliminary Card at 8:00 PM ET and the Main Card at 10:00 PM ET.

Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett betting picks and predictions

Paddy Pimblett Moneyline (-160)

Our best bet for the UFC 314 Co-Main Event between Chandler and Pimblett will target the latter to win and inch closer to making a legitimate claim for the UFC Lightweight title.

Pimblett enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-3 and 6-0 in the UFC. His most recent win was against King Green by submission back in July 2024.

Since joining the UFC in September 2021, Pimblett has been an excellent striker. He is averaging 4.94 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53 percent. 

In terms of his defense, Pimblett absorbs 3.75 significant strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 40 percent. His grappling has also been decent, averaging 0.91 takedowns every 15 minutes.

His grappling is more geared towards creating submission opportunities, as he is averaging 2.1 submission attempts every 15 minutes. However, his takedown accuracy is only 25 percent, and his takedown defense is 52 percent.

As for Chandler, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-9 and 4-4 in the UFC. Originally competing in the Bellator promotion, he has gone through a rough patch lately in the UFC. He has lost four of his last five UFC fights, with his most recent defeat coming by submission against Charles Oliveira back in November 2024. 

Despite his struggles, Chandler employs excellent striking, averaging 4.49 significant strikes per minute, and he has a striking accuracy of 50 percent.

As for his defense, Chandler absorbs 4.30 significant strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 43 percent. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.59 takedowns every 15 minutes but just 0.6 submission attempts during the same period.

Further, Chandler only has a takedown accuracy of 37 percent, while his takedown defense is 63 percent.

Pimblett is the clear favorite in this fight but still looks to be the better betting option. He has yet to lose in the UFC, while Chandler has struggled in the promotion since he joined.

Further, Pimblett has the edge in striking volume, and where he lacks in takedown volume, he makes up for it with his ability to force submissions.

Based on the fact that Pimblett is in much better form, our best bet for the UFC 314 Co-Main Event will be for Pimblett to win (-160).

Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblett odds

Michael Chandler	+130 ML
Paddy Pimblett	-160 ML

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.