Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad UFC 304: Picks, Predictions and Odds

UFC 304 is set for this weekend and is highlighted by a Main Event between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad.

This fight will be held at the Co-Op Live Arena in Manchester, England on Saturday and is expected to begin at 11:59 PM ET.

Furthermore, this fight will be for the UFC Welterweight title and our article will provide you with three of our best bets plus the money line odds.

UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad betting picks and predictions

Leon Edwards ML (-250)

Our first pick for the Main Event this weekend between Edwards and Muhammad will simply be for Edwards to win the fight and defend his UFC Welterweight title.

Edwards comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-3 and he is 14-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.75 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%.

As for his defense, Edwards is absorbing 2.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 54 percent. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.25 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Edwards has a takedown accuracy of 34 percent and a takedown defense of 70 percent.

On the other side is Muhammad, who comes into this fight with an MMA record of 23-3 and he is 14-3 in the UFC. Muhammad is averaging 4.55 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43 percent.

He is absorbing 3.64 strikes and has a striking defense of 57 percent. As for his grappling, Muhammad is averaging 1.98 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 35 percent and his takedown defense is 93 percent. 

Edwards is the clear favorite in this fight, but backing him to win still looks to be worth a bet. Both fighters are in tremendous form with Edwards having won his last 12 UFC fights in a row and Muhammad having won his last nine.

The first fight between Edwards and Muhammad was ruled a no contest due to an inadvertent eye poke, but Edwards was winning the fight early on, therefore backing Edwards to win at -250 in the rematch will be our first best bet for Saturday. 

Leon Edwards By Decision or Technical Decision (+125)

To go along with our first pick for Edwards to retain his UFC Welterweight title, our second pick will be for Edwards to win by decision. 

While Edwards certainly has the ability to win his fights by KO/TKO or Submission, the majority of his wins have come by decision.

Edwards has won 12 times in his career by this method. In the UFC, he has a total of 11 wins by decision, four of which have come in his last five UFC fights.

To bolster the chance of an Edwards win by decision, Muhammad has only lost once in his career by finish. This was by KO/TKO and happened back in 2016. This means that he has avoided being finished in his last 14 consecutive fights.

Based on the fact that Edwards has won the vast majority of his UFC fights on the judges scorecards, backing Edwards to win by decision at +125 in this title fight will be our second best bet. 

Fight to go the Distance - Yes (-180)

Our third pick for this Main Event will piggyback off our pick above in that we will back this fight to go the distance. Both Edwards and Muhammad have seen the majority of their career fights go the distance. 

For Edwards, this includes 14 of his 25 career MMA fights and 12 of his 16 career UFC fights. Further, Edwards has seen eight of his last 10 UFC fights go the distance. 

As for Muhammad, he has seen 19 of his 26 career MMA fights go the distance and 12 of his 17 UFC fights go to the final buzzer. Similar to Edwards, Muhammad has also seen eight of his last 10 UFC fights go to the judges.

Because both Edwards and Muhammad have seen the majority of their fights decided by the judges, backing this title fight to go the distance at -180 will be our final bet.  

UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad odds

Leon Edwards	-250
Belal Muhammad	+200

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.