The hugely anticipated UFC 315 is set to take place this weekend and will feature a UFC Welterweight title fight in the main event between Belal Muhammad and Jack Della Maddalena.
UFC 315 will begin on Saturday, May 10, and will be held at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada. The event is scheduled to get underway at 6:30 PM ET, starting with the Early Preliminary Card. The Preliminary Card will follow at approximately 8:00 PM ET, and then the Main Card at 10:00 PM ET.
Our article will give you a full preview of the UFC 315 main event between Muhammad and Della Maddalena by providing you with our best bet for this fight. Additionally, we will give the current money line odds for both Muhammad and Della Maddalena.
Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena UFC 315 betting pick and predictions
Jack Della Maddalena Moneyline (+150)
Our prediction for the UFC 315 main event between Belal Muhammad and Jack Della Maddalena will target Della Maddalena to pull the upset and win the UFC Welterweight title.
Della Maddalena enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-2 and 8-0 in the UFC. His most recent UFC fight was a win against Gilbert Burns by KO/TKO back in March 2024. Della Maddalena has been an elite striker throughout his UFC career, averaging 6.74 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53 percent.
As for his defense, Della Maddalena absorbs 4.27 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 66 percent. His grappling has not nearly been as strong, averaging just 0.21 takedowns every 15 minutes. Della Maddalena has a takedown accuracy of 16 percent and a takedown defense of 70 percent.
On the other side is Muhammad, who enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-3 and 15-3 in the UFC. His most recent fight in the UFC was a win against Leon Edwards by unanimous decision back in July 2024, where Muhammad won the UFC Welterweight title.
Muhammad has also been an excellent striker throughout his career, averaging 4.39 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43 percent. In terms of his defense, he absorbs 3.48 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 57 percent.
Unlike Della Maddalena, Muhammad is an excellent grappler, averaging 2.28 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 39 percent and a takedown defense of 89 percent.
It is no surprise to see Muhammad as the heavy favorite in this fight, as he is the one who currently holds the UFC Welterweight title. However, due to Della Maddalena’s scorching start to the UFC, he looks to be a solid option to pull the upset.
While Della Maddalena lacks in grappling ability, he more than makes up for it with his striking and power. He has the clear edge in striking volume, and his takedown defense has been strong enough to limit the edge Muhammad has in grappling.
Because Della Maddalena has been perfect in the UFC and has proved he can stand up and box with just about anyone, backing Della Maddalena to win at +162 and be crowned the UFC Welterweight title will be our best bet.
Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena UFC 315 odds
Belal Muhammad | Jack Della Maddalena | |
Money Line | -175 | +150 |
By Decision or Technical Decision | -105 | +450 |
By KO, TKO or DQ | +1000 | +300 |
By Submission | +750 | +1600 |
Total Rounds | Over | Under |
1.5 | -750 | +450 |
2.5 | -390 | +275 |
3.5 | -260 | +190 |
4.5 | -200 | +150 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
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