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Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The reigning World Series champion Texas Rangers could struggle to claim victory over the Seattle Mariners after an inconsistent start to their title defense.

Only four runs were scored in the series opener, which the Mariners won 4-0. Logan Gilbert was fantastic for the Mariners while Dane Dunning got hit hard early for the Rangers.

On Wednesday night, it will be Bryce Miller starting for Seattle and Jon Gray countering him for Texas. Another low-scoring affair could be in store.

The Mariners shutting out the Rangers last night was unexpected because the Texas offense has a lot of power at the top of the order. With Marcus Semien, Corey Seager, and Adolis Garcia, the Rangers are a dangerous team, but the Mariners have strong pitching.

Let’s preview this matchup and see our expert’s best bets.

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers betting picks and predictions

Mariners ML (+100)

The Mariners being underdogs in this matchup is slightly surprising. Bryce Miller has been phenomenal in his sophomore season as he owns a 1.85 ERA and 0.82 WHIP after four starts.

If you take out his first start against the Red Sox when he didn’t look sharp, Miller is 3-0 with a 0.47 ERA and a 0.62 WHIP in his last three outings. That includes shutting out the Brewers and Cubs while throwing a one-hitter against the Reds last time out.

Rangers starter Jon Gray’s last start came seven days ago which means he should be well-rested for this outing.

But a few games ago, the Rangers were on the tail end of playing 17 games in 17 days, and manager Bruce Bochy was forced to use Gray out of the bullpen. The usual starter pitched 1.2 innings and struck out 4 hitters in that relief appearance.

For the season, Gray owns a 3.15 ERA but a 5.90 xERA which means he has been quite lucky to have his ERA be so low. A big reason for that is his 15.1 percent barrel rate per batted ball event, which ranks in the third percentile of all pitchers.

If the Mariners can get a few runs off Gray, Miller and the Seattle bullpen should be able to limit Texas at the plate.

Under 9 (-110)

The primary reason for taking the under in this matchup is Miller. The Under is 4-0 in his four starts this season. The average run total of his four starts is just 6.5 runs which is well below the under for this game. Plus, the Mariners are not the type of team that will try to outslug their opponent.

Seattle’s game plan is to use their stellar starting pitching to their advantage and limit the opposition’s runs. That allows the Mariners lineup to only need two or three runs to win instead of four or five. With Miller on the mound, the Mariners might be able to win this game with just a handful of runs. 

Although Gray’s advanced metrics indicate that he’s been quite lucky, his strikeout numbers have never been higher. The Texas starter has a 28.4 percent strikeout rate which ranks in the 79th percentile and is also the highest rate of his 10-year career.

Gray's ability to get whiffs should be on full display tonight against a Mariners lineup that has the second highest strikeout rate against right-handers this season. Back the starting pitchers to get the job done and take the under in Arlington. 

Read more betting picks and predictions for MLB on site.

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers odds

SEA Mariners

+100 ML

TEX Rangers

-120 ML

Run Line

SEA Mariners -1.5


O/U 9.0

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers player props

Player Home Run Odds

Julio Rodriguez (SEA)


Jorge Polanco (SEA)


Cal Raleigh (SEA)


Marcus Semien (TEX)


Corey Seager (TEX)


Adolis Garcia (TEX)


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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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