The first month of the 2025 MLB season has featured plenty of compelling matchups, and the action continues on Tuesday with a matchup in the uber-competitive National League West between the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres.
Both of these teams entered the season with lowered expectations compared to previous seasons, but San Francisco currently holds the second-best record in all of baseball (19-10), while the Padres aren’t far behind at 17-11.
It remains to be seen whether both clubs can keep up this high level of play, but the current odds suggest that these teams will find their way into the postseason come October.
Tuesday’s matchup is expected to be a pitcher’s duel, as two of the top arms in the National League are set to take the mound for their respective teams: Logan Webb for the Giants and Nick Pivetta for the Padres.
Will the Giants get off on the right foot to start this important series, or will the Padres pick up a big win in front of their home fans? Let’s get into the odds, plus our expert’s betting picks and predictions for this contest.
The Giants are no stranger to winning games this season and San Francisco has certainly not struggled when Logan Webb has gotten the ball in 2025.
Webb has long been one of the more underrated pitchers in the game and the right-hander has been dominant regardless of venue this season, to the tune of a 1.98 ERA and just eight earned runs allowed over six starts.
What’s more impressive are Webb’s underlying metrics, as he currently holds a 1.96 FIP that ranks third-best among qualified MLB starters, and a 30.8 percent strikeout rate that sits as his career-best mark.
Despite the star power in the Padres lineup, our expert sees no reason to expect Webb to suddenly turn in a bad outing on Tuesday, especially since he’s historically had success against the likes of Xander Bogaerts, Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr.
On the other side, Nick Pivetta has been outstanding for San Diego to this point, but he is pitching way over his head at the moment compared to his usual career numbers.
It’s likely only a matter of time before the veteran right-hander should regress to the mean a bit, even at home.
Ultimately, our expert is backing the Giants on the money line at -125 to take the first game of this series and maintain their hold on first place in the NL West.
This pitching matchup is one that immediately points our expert in the direction of the Under, and oddmakers would certainly agree, as the total is set at the very low line of 6.5.
Our expert has already extolled the virtues of Webb, but it’s also worth noting that Pivetta has allowed just four earned runs over his five outings this season, to the tune of a stellar 1.20 ERA.
It certainly helps matters that the Giants offense is pretty middling against right-handed pitching (.234 batting average, .213 away from home), and the Padres' offense has tallied two runs or fewer in five straight contests.
Both starters should do more than enough to keep the opposition at bay, and our expert is projecting strong outings from a pair of well-rested bullpens in this matchup, which also aids our handicap of the under.
All things considered, Under 6.5 at +110 is our game totals pick on this NL West matchup on Tuesday.
Read more betting picks and predictions for the MLB on site.
San Francisco Giants | -125 ML |
San Diego Padres | +105 ML |
Run Line | SF Giants -1.5 |
Total | O/U 6.5 |
Matt Chapman (SF Giants) | +320 |
Will Adames (SF Giants) | +375 |
Heliot Ramos (SF Giants) | +525 |
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD Padres) | +425 |
Manny Machado (SD Padres) | +650 |
Xander Bogaerts (SD Padres) | +1100 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.