Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The 2025 MLB season rolls on this week with a matchup in the NL East between the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets on Tuesday.

Both teams are expected to compete at the top of the NL East all season long. Monday’s series opener was a battle from start to finish, as the Mets picked up a 5-4 victory in a game that ended up coming down to the wire after a furious late Phillies rally in the eighth inning.

Tuesday’s matchup features a rock-solid matchup of starting pitchers — Christopher Sanchez for the Phillies and Griffin Canning for the Mets — against a pair of lineups that could struggle a bit in this one.

Will the Phillies bounce back and even the series, or will the Mets keep rolling and secure a series victory at Citi Field? Let’s get into the odds, plus our betting picks and predictions for this contest.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets betting picks and predictions

Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (-135)

These are two of the best teams in baseball and we can fully expect the remaining games of this series to be just as competitive and hotly contested as Monday’s game was.

In this instance, our expert is trusting the Phillies as road favorites, and it all starts with who is taking the mound for Philadelphia in Queens.

Christopher Sanchez has consistently improved over every year of his career, and he’s a guy who projects to be one of the top pitchers in the game going forward.

Thus far, his outings this season have supported that data, as Sanchez has posted a 2.96 ERA while surrendering just eight earned runs over four starts.

The Mets' lineup is strong, but it is generally worse against lefties, posting worse batting average, slugging and OPS numbers than when facing a right-hander.

As for the other starter, Griffin Canning is off to a very solid start for New York, but his expected numbers show that he’s due for a bit of regression, which could prove costly against a Phillies lineup that isn’t lacking for talent and experience.

Ultimately, our expert is backing the Phillies on the moneyline at -135 to even the series and head into the rubber match on Wednesday.

Under 8.0 Total Runs (-110)

This pitching matchup immediately points toward the Under, especially since the Under should have gotten home on Monday as it took a four-run eighth inning from the Phillies for the Over to hit.

Part of the reason why we’re going back to the well and taking the Under is the prowess of both starting pitchers, particularly Sanchez for Philadelphia.

The lefty has real ace stuff and his spring training stats (1.62 ERA with a 0.84 WHIP in five spring training starts) were indicative of a pitcher that is entering into the upper echelon of all MLB starters.

His outings in April have only increased his profile as one of the best pitchers in the league and that success should continue into Tuesday’s matchup.

While Sanchez can be expected to find success against the Mets, there are enough avenues for Canning (3.43 ERA, eight earned runs over 21 innings pitched) to eat up some innings while keeping the Phillies lineup fairly contained.

It certainly helps matters that the Mets have one of the best bullpens in baseball, so our expert isn’t expecting a ton of late runs in this contest.

All things considered, Under 8.0 runs at -110 is our best bet of the day on this game.

Read more betting picks and predictions for the MLB on site.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets odds

Philadelphia Phillies	-135 ML
New York Mets	+115 ML
Run Line	Phillies -1.5
Total Runs	O/U 8.0

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets player props

Player Home Run Odds

Juan Soto (NY Mets)	+500
Pete Alonso (NY Mets)	+500
Francisco Lindor (NY Mets)	+500
Kyle Schwarber (PHI Phillies)	+300
Bryce Harper (PHI Phillies)	+390
Nick Castellanos (PHI Phillies)	+540

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.