New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The final chapter of this weekend’s highly anticipated 2024 World Series rematch unfolds on Sunday Night Baseball as the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Dodgers face off under the lights at Dodger Stadium. These are the two most iconic franchises in Major League Baseball, and both are sitting atop their divisions entering June.

The Yankees come into the contest with the best run differential in baseball and one of the most balanced roster in the majors, pairing elite top-to-bottom offense with steady pitching. The Dodgers, meanwhile, have fought through massive injury setbacks, especially on the mound.

The Yankees came into LA red-hot with the top offense in baseball, and the Dodgers came in with the #2 offense, but struggling with consistent production at the plate and on the mound.

After the Dodgers came back from down 5-1 against then MLB ERA leader Max Fried on Friday to win 8-5, the Dodgers followed that yesterday with an 18-2 explosive win, and now look to sweep the Yankees.

With elite hitters on both sides and a marquee pitching matchup lined up, tonight’s tilt promises to be a heavyweight showdown.

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers betting picks and predictions

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+120)

The Dodgers comfortably covering -1.5 in each of the first two games this series was not on our bingo card. The Yankees came into the series with an advantage in most team metrics and had the better of each starting pitching matchup.

Now that the Dodgers have a considerable edge in the starting pitching department, and their offense is on its best two-game stretch this year, we’re backing the Dodgers to cover the run line yet again on Sunday night behind their ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

Yamamoto has been everything LA hoped for and more this season, boasting a 1.97 ERA and dominant splits, particularly against left-handed hitters (.136 BAA, .410 OPS). He’s already faced the Yankees twice, once in last year’s World Series and once in the 2024 regular season, and allowed just three hits and one earned run combined across 13+ innings with 11 strikeouts.

New York’s lineup remains lethal, but Yamamoto has consistently neutralized their biggest threats. He struck out Aaron Judge twice and held Anthony Volpe hitless in both previous matchups. With Juan Soto no longer in the picture and several key lefties (Grisham, Bellinger, Wells) expected to produce, Yamamoto has an edge here.

On the other side, the Yankees hand the ball to veteran lefty Ryan Yarbrough. While he’s been serviceable in a swingman role, Yarbrough doesn’t miss many bats or get much chase and has to navigate a loaded Dodgers lineup that leads the league in batting average, OPS at home, home runs and is third in OPS against left-handed pitching. LA’s right-handed bats like Teoscar Hernández, Will Smith, Tommy Edman, Andy Pages and Enrique Hernández should be ready to go against a soft-tossing southpaw.

Look for Yamamoto to give the Dodgers six or seven strong innings while the offense capitalizes on a potential bullpen-heavy approach coming from New York. At +120, the run line offers excellent value for a Dodgers team in its home ballpark with the starting pitching advantage.

Under 9.0 Total Runs (-115)

While this game features two of MLB’s top offenses that have combined for 13 runs and 20 runs already in the series, we expect some regression tonight, and the total of 9.0 is still a bit high considering the pitching matchup and recent trends.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been dominant all season and has already shown he can shut down this Yankees lineup. As noted, several Yankees hitters have struggled against him, and he continues to silence left-handed bats with ease. 

The Yankees counter with Yarbrough, a control artist who thrives when limiting hard contact. The Dodgers may jump on him early, but they’ve also been prone to quieter games when facing unconventional looks. Given that LA has used more bullpen innings than any team in baseball, manager Dave Roberts may be cautious about stretching his pen too far on a Sunday night.

Furthermore, both bullpens, while trending differently, are capable of throwing scoreless frames when rested. If Yarbrough can give them five solid innings, it’s very possible this game stays close and low-scoring into the late innings.

With Yamamoto dealing and New York’s relief corps in a good spot, expect a 4-2 or 5-2 final score in favor of the Dodgers.

Teoscar Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs (+350)

If you’re looking for a power prop with serious value, look no further than Teoscar Hernández at +350 to go yard. Hernández enters this matchup swinging a hot bat and has long been one of the most dangerous right-handed hitters in baseball when it comes to slugging left-handed pitching.

The 32-year-old has 13 hits in 36 at-bats vs. Yarbrough with 7 home runs, a .361 average and a jaw-dropping 1.395 OPS. This is one of the most lopsided hitter vs. pitcher matchups we have come across this season, and 36 at-bats is no joke when it comes to an individual matchup sample size.

Yarbrough’s pitch-to-contact style is tailor-made for someone like Hernandez, who has hit over .300 with an OPS north of .900 this season. He’s also performed well with men on base, and given the Dodgers’ high team OBP, he should get at least a couple of run-producing opportunities. He’s already missed time this season but remains on pace for a 30+ homer campaign if he stays healthy.

At +350, there’s plenty of value here in backing a righty slugger against a contact-heavy lefty starter. He has the matchup, the power and the moment in his favor.

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New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers odds

New York Yankees	+145 ML
Los Angeles Dodgers	-170 ML
Run Line	LA Dodgers -1.5
Total	O/U 9.0

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers player props

Player Home Run Odds

Shohei Ohtani (LA Dodgers)	+220
Aaron Judge (NY Yankees)	+230
Teoscar Hernandez (LA Dodgers)	+350
Max Muncy (LA Dodgers)	+350
Will Smith (LA Dodgers)	+475
Freddie Freeman (LA Dodgers)	+500

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.