New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

Heading into their first head-to-head meeting of the entire season, the Atlanta Braves find themselves a hard-to-believe 13 games behind the division-leading New York Mets in the National League East.

It will require a lot more than a three-game series to get back in it, but the Braves have to start somewhere and they will try to take a step in the right direction when they host the Mets in Tuesday’s series opener at Truist Park.

Spencer Schwellenbach is taking the mound for the home team, while New York is countering with David Peterson for a showdown between two starting pitchers who have impressed this season.

With Tuesday’s contest set for 7:15 PM ET on MLB Network, it’s time to break down the matchup and discuss the best bets to make.  

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves betting picks and predictions 

Atlanta Braves ML (-135)

The Braves (31-39) are at least starting to win occasionally on the heels of a disastrous seven-game losing streak. They are 3-1 in their last four and 4-2 in their last six. Yes, two of those victories came against the Rockies – but the Braves will take anything they can get these days.

Regardless of the quality of the opponent, Atlanta can feel relatively good about itself heading into this series against New York.

Schwellenbach will give the Braves additional confidence. He is 5-4 with a 3.11 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and an 84-to-14 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 89.2 innings of work. The right-hander is coming off a complete game against Milwaukee (two runs allowed on five hits while striking out nine) and he has produced four consecutive quality starts.

Peterson has also pitched well this season, but – unlike Schwellenbach – he has been around for a long time and Atlanta’s lineup is very familiar with him. Austin Riley is 9-for-23 lifetime against Peterson with four doubles; Ronald Acuna Jr. is 5-for-18 with a homer and a double; Marcell Ozuna has left the yard twice in 17 at-bats.

Atlanta has good value as a slight favorite at home on Tuesday.

Under 8.5 total runs (-115)

The Mets (45-27) may be in the midst of a stellar season, but they just got swept at home in a three-game series by Tampa Bay while scoring a modest nine total runs. They have gone six straight contests without scoring more than five runs.

Pete Alonso went 4-for-21 with no home runs in six games last week; over the last seven games, Francisco Lindor is 5-for-27 with no homers and no RBIs.

Meanwhile, Atlanta’s talented offense has been arguably the most disappointing in all of baseball this year. The Braves have crossed the plate a mere 290 times in 2025; only the Rockies, Pirates and Marlins have scored fewer runs.

With a rock-solid pitcher in Peterson on the mound for New York, there is no reason to think the Braves’ bats will suddenly break out in a big way. All things considered, the Under looks like the play to make.

Matt Olson Over 1.5 hits, runs & RBI (+100)

Here comes Matt Olson! Okay, the Braves’ first baseman is by no means as on fire as he was throughout the 2023 campaign – but by his recent standards, he is coming around nicely.

Olson is on a seven-game hitting streak and has hit safely in 15 of the last 17 contests. He had three hits, three RBIs and three runs scored last Friday against Colorado and has delivered four multi-RBI performances in the last nine outings. 

Olson has every reason to stay hot in this particular matchup on Tuesday. The 31-year-old is batting a respectable .250 lifetime against Peterson and – amazingly – all four of his hits have been home runs. 

Read more betting picks and predictions for the MLB on site.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves odds 

New York Mets	+115 ML
Atlanta Braves	-135 ML
Run Line	ATL Braves -1.5
Total	O/U 8.5

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves player props

Player Home Run Odds

Pete Alonso (NY Mets)	+425
Juan Soto (NY Mets)	+450
Francisco Lindor (NY Mets)	+500
Austin Riley (ATL Braves)	+425
Matt Olson (ATL Braves)	+500
Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL Braves)	+525

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.