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Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The New York Yankees (42-19, 1st in the AL East) and the Minnesota Twins (33-26, 3rd in the AL Central) meet on the diamond in the Bronx on Tuesday night at 7:05 PM ET on TBS.

The Twins have won nine of their last 12 games, while the Yankees have won 16 of their last 20. The Yankees swept the Twins in mid-May and look to dominate again in this final regular-season series.

Read on for a deep dive into our expert betting picks, predictions and analysis, featuring a pick on the run line, two player props and a fun game prop!

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees betting picks and predictions

Yankees -1.5 (+130)

The Yankees’ postseason dominance over the Twins is well documented, carrying a 16-2 record, advancing past Minnesota six times. It also happens to be a lopsided regular-season series all time (113-60), and the Yankees have won over 70% of the games played in the Big Apple. During the three-game sweep in Minnesota less than a month ago, the Yankees covered -1.5 runs in each game, winning 5-1, 4-0 and 5-0.

Minnesota’s offense should benefit in the long run after activating Royce Lewis from injury. Still, Tuesday’s assignment against Yankees starting pitcher Luis Gil could spell more trouble for the Twins offense in this season’s series.

Gil, a 26-year-old right-hander pitching his first full big league season, owns a 7-1 record, 1.99 ERA, 0.95 Whip and 79 strikeouts in 63.1 innings of work. At home, he has been particularly dominant, to the tune of a 1.27 ERA.

Opposite of Gil on the hill, for Minnesota, is big man right-handed hurler Bailey Ober and his 4.89 ERA. After a terrific April, Ober struggled mightily in May, posting a 5.46 ERA for the month, finishing with six earned runs surrendered to the Royals his last time out.

Making his first career start against the Yankees, under the bright New York lights on national TV no less, Ober will have his hands full.

Ober is a reverse split guy and a pretty severe one at that. Ober has dominated lefty hitters, allowing just a .643 OPS. Against right-handed hitters, however, Ober surrenders a .821 OPS. While the Yankees’ left-handed hitting additions of superstar Juan Soto and the scrappy Alex Verdugo have paid dividends creating a more balanced offensive attack, they may not be as effective against Ober. Fortunately for New York, they still have some big-time right-handed bats. Enter Aaron Judge.

We have reached this point in the analysis and hadn’t mentioned baseball’s hottest hitter, the OPS and home-leader, Aaron Judge. It was against these Twins in May when Judge picked up his first four-hit game of the season and began to take off.

Judge leads a right-handed attack that includes consistent moon-shot home-run threat, Giancarlo Stanton, veteran bat-to-ball expert DJ LeMahieu and emerging lead-off hitter Anthony Volpe – all guys chopping at the bit to step in the batter’s box against Ober.

With the advantage in the pitching matchup, home field and New York’s lineup strength against the Twins, take the value in Yankees -1.5 (+130).

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-120)

Judge has never hit against Ober, but the way Judge and Ober have been trending lately, we feel confident and comfortable siding with Judge’s success. To no surprise, Judge’s explosive success has coincided with the team’s success.

When that series in Minnesota began, Judge was hitting .235 with an .860 OPS. Fast forward 20 games and he is hitting .288 with a 1.075 OPS. He has four hits in six at-bats to begin June.

Following a day off after a long road trip in an opportune matchup in primetime, Judge should be primed to put on a show. Take Aaron Judge to clear 1.5 total bases (-120). If he records two base hits, a double or a home run, you will cash on this player prop.

Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-115)

Anthony Volpe flashed some pop, speed, defense and solid instincts throughout his rookie campaign, resulting in a 3.2 WAR over 159 games. The .209 batting average and 167 strikeouts are stats he would like to forget about last season.

In 2024, the 23-year-old has transformed, evolving into a reliable leadoff hitter the Yankees have been searching for. Volpe is hitting .284 on the season and has scored 42 runs – good for a top-10 mark across the MLB.

Volpe has scored a run in 10 of the last 11 games, and in an opportune matchup against Ober, he should be able to set the table for Soto, Judge, Stanton and Co., who are more than capable of driving him in. Take Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-115) ahead of Tuesday’s battle against the Twins.

Yankees 1st Inning Money Line (+240)

We can’t leave you without a fun game prop! Amid Ober’s struggles, the first inning has been the worst of his troubles, posting an 8.18 ERA in the first frame this season.

Couple that with his debut against this lineup in Yankee Stadium, with the short porch in right field, and Ober could be in trouble early.

On the flip side, Gil has been lights out to begin games, posting a 1.64 ERA across the first inning.

The Yankees scored in the first inning in the last two games against the Twins, so why can’t they do it in three straight? Not only that but at +240, there is excellent value in picking them to win the first inning.

Read more betting picks and predictions for the MLB on site.

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees odds

New York Yankees

-170 ML

Minnesota Twins

+145 ML

Run Line

Yankees -1.5

Total Runs

O/U 7.5

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees player props

Player Home Run Odds

Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees)


Juan Soto (New York Yankees)


Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins)


Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees)


Carlos Correa (Minnesota Twins)


Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins


Read the latest MLB news on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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