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Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

We’re almost a week into the 2024 MLB season and the New York Mets are still searching for their first win. 

The Mets were swept by the Brewers in their first series of the year and then lost the series opener to the Tigers on Monday. However, the second game of the series between these two teams last night was postponed due to rain, which gave the Mets the chance to regroup.

Wednesday’s game is expected to feature Casey Mize starting for the Tigers and Adrian Houser for the Mets. Mize is a former first overall pick that has dealt with several arm and back injuries in his short MLB career, so this will be his first big-league action since 2022. 

As for Houser, this will be his New York debut as the right-hander had previously been with the Brewers for the last seven seasons. The Mets are slight favorites on Wednesday, so let’s preview the matchup and see our expert’s best bets.

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets betting picks and predictions

Detroit Tigers ML (+110)

It’s been a slow start to the season for the Mets. New York’s pitching has been average and the bullpen hasn’t been too reliable, but the biggest problem has been their offense. 

The Mets rank 27th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 30th in OPS in the first week of the season. 

The stars of the lineup are Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, and they are a combined 5-for-31 on the season. Francisco Alvarez has been the silver lining of the slow start as he’s hitting .429 with a 1.253 OPS. If Lindor and Alonso continue to struggle at the plate, the Mets offense is in serious danger.

The Tigers swept the White Sox in their first series of the year, which wasn’t too surprising, and then nearly got no-hit against the Mets on Monday. However, excellent pitching by the Tigers kept them in the game, and then the Tigers broke out in extra innings to win 5-0. 

Following the unexpected day off on Tuesday, Casey Mize will get his first start in nearly two years. The former first round pick underwent Tommy John surgery in 2022 and then had surgery on his back shortly after, so injuries have been the story of his young career thus far. With that said, he looked great in Spring Training and his velocity is higher. Detroit is worth the bet with plus odds. 

Under 7 (-110)

Both the Mets and Tigers have relied on their pitching rather than their hitting so far this season. That’s going to be the case again tonight as Mize and Houser should keep the scoring to a minimum in the first half of the matchup. 

Mize looked fantastic in Spring Training as his offspeed pitches had excellent movement and his fastball was much faster than it was prior to his injury. Plus, since the Mets have not seen much of him, he’ll be more difficult to hit.

Houser joined the Mets this offseason after seven solid seasons with the Brewers. In 2023, Houser had a 4.12 ERA and a 20% strikeout rate in over 100 innings. 

The righty has an excellent arsenal of pitches that include a sinker, fastball, slider, curveball, and changeup. He primarily uses his offspeed pitches to get weak contact and ground balls as Houser was in the top 30% of ground ball rate last season. 

If Houser keeps the ball on the ground and Mize looks half as good as he did in Spring Training, this game should feature only a handful of runs.

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Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets odds

DET Tigers

+110 ML

NY Mets

-130 ML

Run Line

NYM -1.5 (+170)

Total

O/U 7

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets player props

Player Home Runs

Francisco Lindor

+320

Pete Alonso

+375

Spencer Torkelson

+425

Francisco Alvarez

+475

Riley Greene

+525

Colt Keith

+600

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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