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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The beginning of the week serves up an AL Central matchup at Progressive Field between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians.

The Guardians had a large lead in the American League Central until the Twins rattled off 12 straight wins, but Cleveland is still holding strong with a 22-12 record in the first 34 games.

As for the Tigers, they have fallen to fourth in the division following their recent 3-0 series loss to the New York Yankees with only the Chicago White Sox behind them.

On the mound on Monday night will be Jack Flaherty for the Tigers and Triston McKenzie for the Guardians.

The Tigers took a chance on Flaherty in the offseason after an inconsistent last few years, and the right-hander has taken full advantage of this opportunity and has his lowest ERA since 2021. As for McKenzie, it’s been a rough start to the season as he owns a 4.34 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in six starts.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians betting picks and predictions

Tigers ML (+100)

Seeing the Tigers tabbed as the underdogs was a little surprising. Detroit has the pitching advantage in this game by some margin since McKenzie hasn’t had the best control this year.

Besides having his walk rate near 15%, which is nearly double the MLB average, he is also getting a lot of hard-hit contact. Plus, he owns a 33% ground ball rate through his first six starts which ranks in just the 13th percentile.

If the Tigers can get a few men on from walks and then put together a few productive situational at-bats, Detroit could head into the later innings with a lead.

Jack Flaherty had spent his entire career with the St. Louis Cardinals before he was traded to the Baltimore Orioles last season. His tenure in Baltimore was a short one as he left in the offseason and landed in Detroit. However, this is a different Flaherty.

His control has become phenomenal as he ranks in the 94th percentile in strikeout rate and walk rate. Flaherty had a walk rate above 10% for the last few seasons, so this is a drastic change. Because of their advantage on the mound, the Tigers are worthy of the pick as underdogs.

Over 7.5 (+105)

For a game to have a total below eight runs, it usually means the pitching matchup is fantastic.

While that may be true about Flaherty, that can’t be said for McKenzie just yet. Four of McKenzie’s six starts have gone over the total with an average of 8.33 runs.

The right-hander will face a Tigers lineup that was just held in check by the Yankees pitching staff, but tonight’s game is a good opportunity for the offense to break out. Plus, the Cleveland bullpen has been leaned on a lot recently, so there aren’t a lot of fresh arms.

Flaherty is the better pitcher in this matchup, but he is still expected to give up a few runs. He’s allowed at least one run in five of his six starts and is facing a Guardians lineup that has plenty of history against him. In fact, Steven Kwan, Jose Ramirez, and Josh Naylor are a combined 6-for-14 (.429) against Flaherty in their careers.

Similar to the Guardians, the Tigers had to use a lot of arms in their previous series against the Yankees. Fresh arms are going to be hard to come by tonight, so the over is the pick in this divisional matchup. 

Read more betting picks and predictions for MLB on site.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians odds

Detroit Tigers

+100 ML

Cleveland Guardians

-120 ML

Run Line

CLE Guardians -1.5

Total

O/U 7.5

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians player props

Player Home Run Odds

Jose Ramirez (CLE Guardians)

+525

Josh Naylor (CLE Guardians)

+550

Bo Naylor (CLE Guardians)

+650

Riley Greene (DET Tigers)

+425

Spencer Torkelson (DET Tigers)

+320

Mark Canha (DET Tigers)

+500

Read the latest MLB news on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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