Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers wrap up a three-game series on Sunday in Texas. The winner of this game will win the series, and since each team has plenty of postseason hope still, this win is very important.

The Red Sox will send Nick Pivetta to the mound and he will be countered by former teammate, Nathan Eovaldi. Let’s check out our expert’s preview and best bets for this game.

Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers betting picks and predictions

Boston Red Sox ML (+110)

Boston has been labeled the underdog in this series finale, and I’m willing to take the risk with the plus-odds team. The Red Sox won the series opener in convincing fashion and were also winning 3-0 in Saturday night’s game before Tanner Houck left a few too many pitches over the middle of the plate which the Rangers lineup sent into the crowd.

In order to win the series finale, Nick Pivetta has to put together a good start for the Sox. Pivetta has been a box of chocolates this season because his performances have been incredibly inconsistent. In his last five starts, he’s had two starts in which he threw a shutout and allowed two hits or less. However, he’s also had two starts of allowing four or more earned runs.

But one interesting note from that five-game span is that Pivetta was on the road in both starts in which he threw a shutout. Looking at his season splits, that makes a lot of sense because he’s really struggled at Fenway this year.

Being on the road for this afternoon’s start gives me the confidence he could put together a quality outing.

Nathan Eovaldi was a hot topic around the trade deadline, but the Rangers decided to risk it and keep their postseason hopes alive. That meant keeping Eovaldi and hoping the lineup starts to produce at a higher rate.

Eovaldi has been one of the most reliable starters the Rangers have had in 2024 since their rotation has been plagued with injuries, but he’s been getting hit pretty hard as of late. In his three starts in the second half of the season, he’s surrendered 11 runs, 18 hits, and five home runs in just 18 innings.

Since the Red Sox prefer right-handed pitching, I’m taking a shot with the underdog at plus money in the series finale.

Under 8.0 (-115)

Both games in this series have flown over the total. With that said, I’m going against the trend and taking the under in today’s matchup. There are two main reasons for siding with the under in the series finale.

One, Pivetta has been much better on the road than at home. Fenway Park is extremely hitter-friendly and Pivetta has been burned by the Green Monster countless times this season.

He won’t have to worry about the short, yet extremely large, green wall in left field today since this game is in Arlington, Texas. His ERA drops from 5.27 to 3.75 when he pitches at home versus on the road, which is a massive difference. 

The second reason for taking the under today is Eovaldi’s success at home. Similar to Pivetta, Eovaldi has extremely contrasting home and away splits. On the road, Eovaldi has a 4.57 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP. He’s also allowing a .275 batting average and .769 OPS which are both extremely high.

At home though, Eovaldi’s ERA drops to 2.67 with a 0.82 WHIP. Plus, he’s limited hitters to a .182 batting average and just a .552 OPS. Those are phenomenal stats, and I’m more than willing to back Eovaldi to keep Boston’s scoring to a minimum in the first half of the game.

Between Pivetta pitching on the road and Eovaldi starting on his home mound, I’m expecting today’s game to be the lowest scoring of the three-game set.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers odds

Boston Red Sox	+110
Texas Rangers	-130
Run Line	Rangers -1.5
Total	O/U 8.0

Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers player props

Player Home Run Odds

Rafael Devers (BOS Red Sox)	+350
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS Red Sox)	+850
Jarren Duran (BOS Red Sox)	+550
Corey Seager (TEX Rangers)	+320
Adolis Garcia (TEX Rangers)	+320
Josh Jung (TEX Rangers)	+400

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.