Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: Picks, Predictions, Odds and Player Props

The 2025 MLB season rolls on this week with a matchup in the NL East between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets on Monday. 

Both of these teams were expected to be competing at the top of the NL East, and while the Mets have lived up to their end of the bargain, the Braves have been far worse than what most experts were predicting prior to the start of the season. 

Both teams are coming off disappointing series over the weekend, as the Mets dropped two out of three to the Phillies on the road, while the Braves lost a series to the lowly Marlins. 

Monday's series opener is one that features an interesting matchup of starting pitchers against a pair of lineups that have struggled a bit of late. 

Will the Braves steal the first game of the series on the road, or will the Mets start the series off with a victory at Citi Field?

Let's get into the odds, plus our expert's betting picks and predictions for this contest.  

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets betting picks and predictions

Braves ML (-135)

The Mets have dropped in the NL East standings, while the disappointing Braves stand in third place and six games below .500. However, Atlanta has picked up wins in seven of their last 10 games, while the Mets have dropped eight of their last nine contests, including losing a series to the Braves last week.

The momentum is starting to shift for both teams, and our expert believes that it will translate into this game, where the Braves are the rightful favorites on the road. 

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach has been fantastic for the Braves this season, compiling a 3.26 ERA across 15 starts, with a chase rate in the 94th percentile per Baseball Savant. Most importantly, Schwellenbach limits baserunners and provides tremendous length, taking pressure off the Braves bullpen as a result. 

Schwellenbach has gone at least six innings over his last eight outings, including a complete game against the Milwaukee Brewers back on June 11. His success should continue against a Mets lineup that he is familiar with on Monday. 

On the other side, right-hander Paul Blackburn has been fairly limited for the Mets this season, as he's spent the bulk of his time on assignment in Syracuse, making just four appearances for the Mets. Over those 4 appearances, Blackburn owns a 6.92 ERA and recently surrendered three earned runs across 3.2 innings against the Braves less than a week ago in a 5-0 Atlanta win.

Ultimately, our expert is backing the Braves on the money line to take care of business on Monday in Queens.

Under 8.5 (-105)

This pitching matchup is not one that immediately points our expert in the direction of the under, but with both lineups struggling a bit in recent games, we'll count on the pitching for both teams to be the story on Monday.

While Schwellenbach can be expected to find success against the Mets, there are enough avenues for Blackburn (3.53 xERA) to eat up some innings while keeping the Braves lineup fairly contained. 

It certainly helps matters that the Mets have one of the best bullpens in baseball, so our expert isn't expecting a ton of late runs in this contest. 

All things considered, the Under 8.5 is our game totals pick on this game.

Ronald Acuna Jr. to record 2+ total bases (-130)

For our best prop bet on this game, our expert is backing Ronald Acuna to record at least two bases on Monday. 

The Braves' best player has been excellent since returning from injury last month, posting an 18.3% barrel rate while slugging eight home runs and hitting nearly .400 in that span. 

Given that Acuna does have a home run in one of his three at-bats against Blackburn and has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last 10 games played, we can expect another solid day at the dish for Atlanta's superstar outfielder. 

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Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets odds

Atlanta Braves	-135 ML
New York Mets	+115 ML
Run Line	ATL -1.5 (+120)
Total	O/U 8.5

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets player props

Player Home Run Odds

Ronald Acuna Jr	+285
Austin Riley	+320
Marcell Ozuna	+350
Juan Soto	+340
Pete Alonso	+350
Francisco Lindor	+420

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.