Tour Championship: Picks, Predictions and Odds

The PGA Tour season reaches its climax at East Lake this week as the top 30 in the final rankings battle for the FedEx Cup at the Tour Championship.

This week’s gathering has a different feel as the main prize of $18 million goes to the winner of the cup, rather than being split between the best player of four rounds at the Atlanta course.

Scottie Scheffler leads the rankings and therefore starts two shots ahead of his nearest rival Xander Schauffele and enjoys bigger advantages over his fellow competitors. Those who are 26th to 30th in the standings start 10 shots behind the World No. 1.

However, betting is available - in separate markets - to win the Tour Championship and to win the 72-hole tournament. We have selections in both in what could be a tense four days in Georgia.

2024 Tour Championship betting picks and predictions

Xander Schauffele to win the Tour Championship (+240)

Finding a winner this week is further complicated by the fact no one has played on this course since last year’s tournament, as it has undergone extensive renovations to completely transform the test.

FedEx Cup leader Scottie Scheffler will not worry about that. He always tends to turn up at the big occasion, just as he did recently in Paris when he took the gold medal for the USA at the Olympics.

However, it is the man he succeeded as Olympic champion, Xander Schauffele, who is the one to watch this week.

The Open champion is within touching distance of the world number one and has been ultra-consistent this season, while he also enjoys an excellent record at East Lake.

Schauffele, who won here in 2017, has finished in the top five here in each of the last five years, a run that has included three runner-up spots.

He would have gained little in the points table by flourishing at the BMW Championship last week, but that did not stop him from putting in a strong show and finishing in a tie for fifth. There seems little chance that he will take his foot off the gas this week.

A two-shot deficit is not inconsiderable, and Schauffele has demonstrated many times this season that he has the steel to stay in the fight and he can overhaul Scheffler to take the big prize.

Rory McIlroy to win (each-way) the Tour Championship (+2000)

Rory McIlroy is another player who makes his presence felt at the business end of a season and although he has six shots to make up on Scheffler, he is capable of at least moving into the top four to reward those who back him each-way to win the Tour Championship.

McIlroy’s cause could be aided by one of the players between him and Scheffler, Japan’s Hideki Matsuyama, having to withdraw from last week’s BMW Championship with a back injury. Plus, 11th was not a bad finish for the Northern Irishman last week.

McIlroy has won at East Lake three times and while the course has been changed dramatically this year, the surroundings will bring back plenty of happy memories and he can flourish in the end-of-season situation that may push him into the frame.

Adam Scott (each-way) to be 72-Hole Stroke Play Winner (+2500)

Few players in the 30-man field have realistic hopes of taking the $18 million first prize for winning the FedEx Cup, but a 72-Hole Stroke Play market is available and Australia’s Adam Scott could make a strong push for glory there.

Scott won at East Lake way back in 2006 but the fact he has returned just twice since 2016 should not count against him too much with the course having undergone such an extensive transformation.

A former Masters champion, Scott has always been a great ball-striker and has come into some decent form, finishing second at the BMW Championship last week and occupying the same spot at the Scottish Open before his 10th at The Open at Royal Troon last month.

He has not tasted victory on the PGA Tour since winning the Genesis Invitational in 2020, but he could be geared for a bold run at glory in this week’s big showdown.

2024 Tour Championship outright odds

Scottie Scheffler	+110
Xander Schauffele	+240
Hideki Matsuyama	+1000
Ludvig Aberg	+1600
Rory McIlroy	+2000
Collin Morikawa	+2500
Patrick Cantlay	+2500
Keegan Bradley	+2500
Sam Burns	+3000
Wyndham Clark	+3000

Read the latest golf news on site.

This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.