After suffering World Cup semifinal heartbreak in midweek, France and England meet in Miami in the bronze medal match.
France vs. England betting picks and predictions
Kylian Mbappe to score anytime (-120), 2+ goals (+450), 3+ goals (+1800)
France’s hopes of silverware are over, but Kylian Mbappe could yet finish the World Cup with the Golden Boot. The fact that goals in the Third Place match count has always been controversial, and that debate will likely rage on if Mbappe benefits from playing a lower-stakes finale.
The Real Madrid forward is level with Lionel Messi on eight goals, but assists are the tie-breaker, and Lionel Messi overtook him in that regard by setting up two goals against England.
However, Messi faces a tense clash against a defensively excellent Spanish side, while Mbappe has the chance to boost his tally against a potentially rotated England side.
Mbappe has scored 16 times across his last 16 starts for his country, and you would expect him to be involved if this clash becomes a high-scoring affair.
Mbappe could look to put the Golden Boot out of Messi’s reach with a strong showing in Miami. England’s late defeat, combined with tensions within the camp between Thomas Tuchel and his players, could help Mbappe star in Miami.
The Frenchman is -120 to score anytime, but he’s worth considering for two goals at +450 and a hat-trick at +1800.
Over 3.5 goals (+110)
The Third Place game tends to be a welcome break from the tension of late tournament matches, with the lower stakes leading to higher-scoring games.
Over 2.5 goals has landed in 11 of the previous 12 play-offs for third, while the six matches in the 21st century have featured a total of 22 goals.
Mbappe’s Golden Boot chase should add to the goals in Miami, while the mounting criticisms of Thomas Tuchel’s England could also work in his favour.
After England’s elimination was blamed on Tuchel’s conservative approach, we could see him let his attacking stars off the leash. England captain Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham are both only two strikes behind Messi and Mbappe, so they could also target another shot at the Golden Boot.
With the stakes lowered, it’s hard to see England holding back in the same way as they did against Argentina.
France should also find it easier going forward than they did against Spain, so over 3.5 goals stands out at +110.
France to win and both teams to score (+200)
England have a poor record when it comes to Third Place play-offs, losing at this point in 1990 and 2018.
France have been made favorites in the match betting, and the depth of their squad justifies that. Les Bleus have some world class talents on their bench who could come into the side, so they should triumph if both sides make wholesale changes.
However, France have more reason to stick with their strongest side and go out on a high, as this is Didier Deschamps’ final game in charge of the national side. Thomas Tuchel has to turn his focus to Euro 2028, where England will co-host.
The Three Lions could name a more experimental lineup, so France are the more appealing side in the match betting. However, with goals expected in Miami, it could be worth taking the higher price available on France to win and both teams to score.
Both teams scored in six of France’s first seven matches of the year, while BTTS has also been a winner in five of England’s seven matches at this tournament, including all four knockout games.
Read more betting picks and predictions for soccer on site
France vs. England odds
France | -110 |
Tie | +280 |
England | +280 |
France vs. England player props
Anytime goalscorer
Kylian Mbape (France) | -120 |
Harry Kane (England) | +120 |
Ousmane Dembele (France) | +175 |
Michael Olise (France) | +210 |
Bradley Barcola (France) | +240 |
Jude Bellingham (England) | +300 |
Read the latest soccer news on site.
This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
