Euros: Winner Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Euros get underway in Germany this month with some of the best teams in the world aiming to dethrone Italy, the 2020 champion, and take their crown.

England, the pre-tournament favorite, is aiming to end a close to 60-year wait for a major trophy. However, they face stern opposition from World Cup finalists France, while hosts Germany are always a side to fear.

Ahead of the Euros getting underway, let’s take a look at the pre-tournament odds and pick out some of our best bets.

Euro 2024 betting picks and predictions

Portugal to win Euro 2024 (+800)

England and France are the early favorites and the two nations will be on a path to meet in the semifinals if they both win their groups. With the two frontrunners on one side of the bracket, that should open up a path for an outsider to make a charge to the final in Berlin.

Euro 2016 winners Portugal are a side to watch, as they are building up an impressive squad. Cristiano Ronaldo remains the captain, 20 years on from his heartbreak when his country hosted Euro 2004.

However, Portugal is now much more than the Ronaldo show. They have an impressive mix of youth and experience at the back, with a defense made up of players from some of Europe’s biggest sides. 

In midfield, they can call upon the likes of Bruno Fernandes and Bernardo Silva, and Benfica’s Joao Neves looks like a candidate for Young Player of the Tournament.

Portugal blitzed their way through qualifying, winning all 10 games and scoring 36 goals, while conceding just two in return. 

New coach Roberto Martinez has made them better to watch and he did a solid job with Belgium despite criticism, guiding them to the semis at the 2018 World Cup. With a clear path to the final and probably the third-best squad at the tournament, Portugal are a good price for glory.

Croatia to make the semifinals (+650)

Croatia’s staying power at the top level is incredible, having followed up their runners-up spot at the 2018 World Cup by finishing third in 2022. Their squad is aging, but that experience has seen them become routine giant-killers on the international stage.

Croatia are a side to fear in a penalty shootout and they can keep possession as well as any side at the tournament.

Josko Gvardiol proved himself to be a top-tier defender in Qatar and the Man City star will be key in defense at this tournament too. 

Croatia haven’t had the best record at the Euros over the years, but they made the UEFA Nations League final in 2023. They’re more than capable of a surprise and their style of play is perfectly suited to tournament football. Back them to make another surprise run to the final four. 

Italy not to qualify from the group stage (+500)

The odds of making it out of the group stage tend to be short, with just eight of the 24 teams being eliminated at the first hurdle. Of the six third-placed finishers, the four teams with the best records will make the next round.

However, that plays into our favor here with a big price on an early exit for the champions.

Group B is tricky, with Croatia, Spain and Albania awaiting Italy. Croatia are tournament masters, while Spain always seem to find a way of getting through. They have won only once at the group stage in each of their last three major tournament appearances but qualified on each occasion.

Albania qualified after a seven-game unbeaten run to finish 2023, while Italy toiled on their way to the tournament. The defending champions narrowly edged out Ukraine to avoid a playoff.

They’re going through a lot of upheaval, with Luciano Spalletti stepping in as manager less than a year ago.

Spalletti’s Italy will play a more cavalier style in a group where their opponents will sit tight, pressing well and waiting to pounce on openings. It’s likely Italy’s younger group and newly installed coach will be caught out, so there’s a real chance they fail to get the points needed to escape the group.

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Euro 2024 winner odds

England	+300
France	+400
Germany	+550
Portugal	+800
Spain	+800
Italy	+1400
Belgium	+1600
Netherlands	+1600

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.