With the NCAA Tournament semifinal right around the corner, plenty of Elias Insights markets are now available on site.
The Elias Sports Bureau, a sports-statistics based data company has partnered with bet365 to provide unique, stat-backed markets.
Michigan, Arizona, Illinois, and UConn are the last four teams left playing this season. The two No. 1 seeds (Michigan and Arizona) will match up with each other, while No. 3 Illinois will battle No. 2 UConn.
Be sure to check out our semifinal preview where you can find the main line odds, plus how to watch the games. Let's get into the Elias Insights specials.
Elias Insights Specials - NCAA Tournament Semifinal
Illinois & Michigan to Outscore Opponents by 8+ Points in the 2nd Half (+1400)
Both Illinois and Michigan outscored their opponents by 8+ points in the second half during all four of their respective games during the NCAA Tournament. Four teams all-time did this in five or more tournament games and never two in the same season: Indiana in 1981, UNLV in 1990, Michigan State in 2000, and Texas Tech in 2019.
Either Michigan or Illinois to Win the 2026 National Championship (-140)
The Big 10 has not won a national title since Michigan State's in 2000. This drought is the second longest ever amount the power conferences, trailing the Pac 12's 27 straight years between Arizona's in 1997 and folding after the 2024 season. Can the Big 10 finally break the skid?
Illinois and Michigan Advance to Championship Game (+210)
Should Illinois and Michigan each win their national semifinals games on Saturday, they would become the first teams from the same conference to face off in the final since Oklahoma and Kansas in 1988 and the first pair of Big 10 schools to do such since Indiana and Michigan in 1976.
Illinois to Win & Outrebound UConn by 9+ (+250)
Illinois has outrebounded its opponents by at least nine in all four of its games in the tournament thus far. Another such game Saturday, and they'll join 2022 North Carolina as the only teams with five or more such games in a single NCAA Tournament. Historically, teams that outrebound their opponents by 9+ in the national semifinals have a record of 46-9.
Winner Shoots Under 25% from Three - Illinois vs. UConn (+200)
Both UConn and Illinois won their games in the Round of Eight despite each shooting under 25% from three. Only seven teams ever won a national semifinal game while shooting under 25% from three, most recently North Carolina in 2016.
Winner Trails at Halftime - Illinois vs. UConn (+240)
Both UConn and Illinois won their games in the Round of Eight after trailing at halftime. Should Saturday's winner be down at halftime again, they would be the fourth team over the last 50 years to advance to the national championship after trailing at the half in each of the previous two rounds, joining Kentucky in 1998, Virginia in 2019, and San Diego State in 2023.
UConn wins by 1-4 Points - Illinois vs. UConn (+650)
UConn won its last two games by margins of four points and one point, respectively. Three previous teams over the last 30 years won three straight tournament games by a margin of four points or fewer: Arizona in 1997, Kansas in 2018, and Loyola-Chicago in 2018. Can UConn be the next school to do this as they advance to their third national championship over the last four years?
Either Team to Win by 20+ Points - Michigan vs. Arizona (+350)
Saturday's matchup between Arizona and Michigan is the second ever national semifinal to feature two teams, each winning their tournament games by an average margin of 20+ points. The first was in 1960, between California and Cincinnati.
Michigan Shoots 50% or Better from the Field, Arizona Shoots 40% or Worse - Michigan vs. Arizona (+175)
Michigan comes into play on Saturday aiming to be the sixth team ever to shoot 50% or better in three straight NCAA tournament games while also holding their opponents under a 40% field-goal rate. The most recent program to accomplish this was USC in 2021.
Michigan to Score 90+ Points - Michigan vs. Arizona (+450)
Michigan is one of six teams all-time to score 90+ points in four tournament games. No team has ever done so five times. Arizona, however, has not surrendered 90+ points in over a calendar year.
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All odds written in this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.
