The Denver Nuggets visit the Milwaukee Bucks on Thursday night, and the away team has lost just one of its last 10 games and has built some momentum heading toward the playoffs.
With around six weeks until the end of the regular season, Milwaukee, meanwhile, is facing the prospect of slipping into the NBA Play-In Tournament.
The 2021 champion Bucks have lost four of their last 10 games and they now sit fifth in the East, with 25 regular season games remaining.
The Nuggets head to the Fiserv Forum with a 38-20 record, hot on the heels of the second-placed Memphis Grizzlies, and have won nine of the last 10 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers are the only team to have beaten Denver since the start of February. The Nuggets are seeking a second title in three seasons.
This is the first time the two teams have met this campaign and in recent seasons, home advantage has been key.
A 112-95 success for Milwaukee in his game last term followed a 113-108 victory in Colorado for the Nuggets. It was a similar story in 2022/23, but the Nuggets now look ready to end that streak and win in Wisconsin.
Denver has an impressive 18-11 record on the road, winning their last four games away from the Ball Arena – beating Indiana, Phoenix, Charlotte and Philadelphia. It’s also worth noting that the last eight wins for head coach Michael Malone’s squad have been by nine points or more.
Nikola Jokic has led by example again and sits third league-wide in the scoring charts, averaging 29.2 points per game, but others have also chipped in.
Point guard Jamal Murray averages 21.1 – 33rd in the league – and small forward Michael Porter Jr. averages 18.6 points.
Milwaukee’s season has been built around a strong home record, with the Bucks winning 19 of their 28 games at the Fiserv Forum.
They haven’t been flowing in the interior in recent weeks, as Milwaukee has scored 120+ points in just one of their last six games, which includes a 100-97 defeat to Houston on Wednesday. And in their last 10 games, they rank last in the NBA with just 34.6 percent of their points being scored in the lane.
It’s no surprise to see Giannis Antetokounmpo high in the points-scoring stats, but his 31.0 points per game has come in just 45 games played due to a number of injury issues.
Damian Lillard (12th) is the only other Bucks player in the NBA’s top 50 players in points per game, with the point guard averaging 25.5 so far this season.
A bonus for Denver entering this matchup between recent NBA champions is that power forward Aaron Gordon should be available after recovering from a calf issue. Gordon scored 25 points in this week’s win over the Pacers.
Giannis is expected to feature despite managing a calf strain, but he may not be feeling 100 percent. Due to the Nuggets' health and depth, back them to cover the -6.0 spread as favorites.
The Nuggets are the third-highest scorers in the league, averaging 121.3 per game, and the points are flowing in recent weeks.
The Nuggets have topped that average in seven of their last nine games, including 146 in their win over the Portland Trail Blazers and 144 against the New Orleans Pelicans earlier this month.
Milwaukee averages 113.9 points but has fallen short of that in four of their last five matchups. Head coach Doc Rivers' team will need to raise its level more than one notch to live with Thursday’s opponents.
While those averages don't quite add up to this game's total points line, the star power and offensive talent on either side bodes well for the Over.
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Denver Nuggets | -170 ML |
Milwaukee Bucks | +145 ML |
Spread | DEN Nuggets -3.5 |
Total Points | O/U 240.5 |
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL Bucks) | O/U 29.5 |
Nikola Jokic (DEN Nuggets) | O/U 26.5 |
Damian Lillard (MIL Bucks) | O/U 24.5 |
Jamal Murray (DEN Nuggets) | O/U 20.5 |
Michael Porter Jr (DEN Nuggets) | O/U 20.5 |
Kyle Kuzma (MIL Bucks) | O/U 15.5 |
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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.