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Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 4: Picks, predictions from Daily Faceoff

What a Conference Finals we've witnessed thus far!

Four of the seven games have gone to overtime, just one less than the entire second round.

The Eastern Conference Final is tied up at two apiece after Sam Reinhart ended last night’s Game 4 game on a powerplay goal under a minute into the extra frame.

Igor Shesterkin has really kept the New York Rangers in the game, as the Florida Panthers have outshot the Rangers 77-46 in Games 3 and 4.

Over in the Western Conference, the Dallas Stars lead the Edmonton Oilers two games to one. This series has been a lot more even, in my opinion.

The Oilers have outshot the Stars 98-80, but I think that has more to do with the Stars leading this series for 35:08 of game time in just three games.

Can the Oilers do what the Panthers did last night? Let's find out.

Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 4 picks and predictions

Game 3 showed a few things for both sides.

For Dallas, they proved that they can be a resilient group. They allowed a goal within the first two minutes, and then Connor McDavid gave the Oilers a two-goal lead not even eight minutes into the hockey game.

And while the Stars were heavily outshot in the first period (10-3), they didn't roll over and quit. The Stars came out of the first intermission, fired 14 unanswered shots on goal, and re-took the lead before the halfway mark.

Another thing that proved abundantly clear in Game 3 is that Jason Robertson is broken without Roope Hintz. Robertson finally showed up in this series, scoring three goals, including the eventual game-winner. In the four games without Hintz, Robertson still had three points, but they were all assists, and he never established himself firmly into this series until Hintz returned.

If you were to just solely scoreboard watch from last game, you'd think Stuart Skinner had a bad game. But he made some massive saves to keep the Oilers hanging in the game.

Sure, he allowed four goals, but not all of them were his fault. There were two defensive plays that the Oilers could have made to prevent a couple of them. But the game-winning goal he allowed was goaltending 101. You need to keep your skate tight along the post, and if you don't? Well, you all saw what can happen.

Speaking of defense...the Oilers need to figure out what happened to Darnell Nurse. When he signed his $9.25M per year contract extension, he looked prime to be a number one defenseman.

But he has fallen off a cliff, especially with his defensive play. Nurse has been on the ice for the most goals against at 5-on-5 of anybody in the entire series. Kris Knoblauch hinted at a change coming for this Oilers' defence in Game 4. Now, I don't think you can afford to scratch a player making that much money, but that's a painful contract for the next six years.

That being said...

Edmonton Oilers ML (-135)

I know I just spoke poorly about this Oilers' defense, but as I mentioned, Knoblauch hinted at making lineup changes. Do you remember the last time the Oilers made lineup changes? They ripped off three of four wins against the Vancouver Canucks to send them to this Western Conference Final.

Also, the Oilers proved that they could get to Jake Oettinger, who, up until Game 3, had a 5-1 record, a 1.22 GAA and a .957 S% on the road this playoffs.

He had never allowed more than two goals in any game, and the Oilers managed to put three past him, which was his worst road performance of the entire playoffs. And considering how well they've played against the Stars this series, they don't deserve to go down 3-1.

Wyatt Johnston Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-130)

Wyatt Johnston continues to prove that he's a road warrior, as he cleared his shots on goal line in Game 3 with three shots on six shot attempts. This adds to impressive road splits where he's cleared in five of seven road playoff games, averaging 4.6 shots on 8.3 shot attempts. Johnston has cleared in 15 of his last 17 road games.

Against the Oilers in the regular season, he cleared in all three games, averaging 4.0 shots on 6.0 shot attempts. Considering Johnston averages 6.0 shot attempts against the Oilers, he's cleared in 100% of road games (18/18) this season and averages 4.9 shots on goal.

These are some impressive numbers from the 21-year-old, playing in his second Stanley Cup playoff run.

Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.

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