Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler: UFC 309 Picks, Predictions and Odds

UFC 309 is headlined by Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic in the Main Event for the UFC Heavyweight title, but the Co-Main Event will be a highly-anticipated Lightweight fight between Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler. 

Both Oliveira and Chandler are UFC veterans who are both ranked in the top 10 of the Lightweight division.

Our article will preview the Co-Main Event between Oliveira and Chandler and we will provide you with our two best bets for this fight.

UFC 309: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler betting picks and predictions

Charles Oliveira to Win (-275)

Our first prediction for the Co-Main Event featuring Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler will target Oliveira to win this fight.

Oliveira enters this fight with an MMA record of 34-10. He is an excellent striker, averaging 3.39 significant strikes per minute, and has a striking accuracy of 53 percent. As for his striking defense, Oliveira absorbs 3.20 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 51 percent.

His grappling ability has also been elite, averaging 2.17 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.8 submission attempts during the same period. Oliveira has a takedown accuracy of 40 percent and his takedown defense is 55 percent.

This fight is a rematch from May 2021 where Oliveira beat Chandler by KO/TKO to claim the UFC Lightweight title. Not much has changed since then and that loss for Chandler was the first of three defeats in his last four fights.

Oliveira has gone 3-2 over his last five fights, but he has the edge in this bout, especially when it comes to grappling and forcing submissions. Oliveira is a heavy favorite, but backing him to win will still be our best bet because he has been in better form recently. 

Over 1.5 Rounds (-120)

Our second prediction for the UFC 309 Co-Main Event will focus on this fight to go Over 1.5 rounds.

While the first meeting between these two ended in the first round, both fighters have seen more of their recent fights enter the second round.

Two of Chandler's last three UFC fights went Over 1.5 rounds, as well as three of Oliveira's five.

Take this contest to follow suit and go over the quoted distance.

UFC 309: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler odds

Charles Oliveira	-275
Michael Chandler	+225

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.