Oscar Duarte vs. Miguel Madueno: Picks, Predictions and Odds

Oscar Duarte will hope to move one step closer to his first world title shot when he faces Miguel Madueno in Anaheim on Saturday.

The Mexican had been preparing to face former two-time world champion Regis Prograis, but the southpaw picked up a shoulder injury that ruled him out of action.

Madueno, a fellow Mexican, has vowed to take his chance on the big stage, with both men aiming to earn a world title shot in 2025.

Oscar Duarte vs. Miguel Madueno betting picks and predictions

Miguel Madueno to win (+475)

Late replacements in boxing are never good news. Fighters spend months sparring and preparing for a certain style, only to have to go back to the drawing board at the drop of a hat.

Duarte was always expected to beat Prograis, with the veteran losing his last two fights to Devin Haney and Jack Catterall, but Madueno will pose a totally different threat.

While Prograis carries power, he is now 36, while Madueno is at his peak at 26.

Duarte is Golden Boy Promotions' "next star" and he has tremendous backing in Mexico and the USA.

The 29-year-old has won 28 of his 31 fights, including 22 stoppage wins. La Migrana beat Joseph Diaz and Botirzhon Akhmedov in 2024 to earn the fight with Prograis, but he still has a point to prove.

His first defeat came back in 2019 when he lost on points to Adrian Estrella in Indio. Duarte responded by recording 11 successive knockout victories before he was stopped by Ryan Garcia in December 2023.

Duarte is aggressive and his bruising style has brought him lots of success, but he is vulnerable.

Madueno has been staying active in case a big fight came available and he was on holiday when he was offered the chance to replace Prograis.

He claims "it just feels right" after he stepped in at the 11th hour, and he claims he will not let the occasion get to him.

Nicknamed "Explosivo", Madueno has won 31 fights out of 34 outings, winning 28 times by knockout.

Defeats to Jezzrel Corrales, Steve Claggett and Keyshawn Davis are nothing to be ashamed of, especially with Davis now competing for world honours.

In his defeat to Davis, Madueno was slammed to the floor, only for the referee to do nothing. He was given very little help by the officials and will only be hungrier to succeed this time around.

Miguel Madueno to win by KO, TKO or DQ (+1000)

Saturday's fight promises to be explosive from the outset between two proud Mexican fighters.

Madueno is not the biggest name that Golden Boy could have found for Duarte, and they may regret their decision.

While both men have vowed to attack from the first bell, Madueno has never been stopped.

Duarte's style is exciting and keeps fans engaged, but he is a little reckless, and against a big puncher, he should struggle to hear the final bell.

Madueno's stamina will be called into question as the fight progresses due to his lack of a proper training camp, but he has the power to break Duarte in what could be a fight-of-the-year contender. Duarte is unlucky that Prograis suffered an injury, but he has spent all camp preparing to face a veteran southpaw, and he will now have to take on a hungry orthodox fighter.

Madueno may need time to find his range after a short camp, but if Duarte stays in the pocket and wants to trade, the outsider is more than capable of fighting fire with fire.

Oscar Duarte vs. Miguel Madueno odds

	Oscar Duarte	Miguel Madueno
Money Line	-750	+475
By KO, TKO, DQ	+162	+1000
By Decision or Technical Decision	-138	+1200

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.