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ATP Indian Wells Outright Odds: Alcaraz and Sinner lead the pack

One of the top ATP tour tournaments outside of the four Grand Slams, the Indian Wells, officially begins on Wednesday, March 4th.

The qualifying rounds started on March 2nd, while the Round of 128 begins on Wednesday.

All of the top names in men's tennis are playing, including Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, and Novak Djokovic, as well as Americans like Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and Tommy Paul.

Alcaraz and Sinner have dominated men's tennis for a couple years now, as they've combined to win every Grand Slam tournament since the 2023 US Open when Djokovic beat Daniil Medvedev in the final.

However, the British Jack Draper beat Holger Rune to win the 2025 Indian Wells after Alcaraz won in 2023 and 2024.

Those two are the clear favorites to win Indian Wells - a hard-court surface. Let's take a look at the rest of the odds board to win the major ATP tournament.

2026 Indian Wells - Outright Odds

Carlos Alcaraz

+137

Jannik Sinner

+150

Novak Djokovic

+1200

Daniil Medvedev

+2000

Ben Shelton

+2800

Alexander Zverev

+2800

Alex De Minaur

+3300

Taylor Fritz

+3300

Felix Auger Aliassime

+4000

Lorenzo Musetti

+6600

As mentioned earlier, Alcaraz and Sinner are huge favorites. Both are only + money because they could face each other in the final.

Djokovic (+1200), now 38-years-old, is on Alcaraz's side of the draw and the two could meet in the semifinal.

Medvedev is +2000 while Ben Shelton and Alexander Zverev are each +2800.

Shelton owns one win over Sinner in 10 attempts and is 0-3 against Alcaraz. The 23-year-old American is looking to finally break out.

Alex De Minaur and another American, Taylor Fritz, are both +3300.

Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime (+4000) and the Italian Lorenzo Musetti (+6600) close out the top-ten favorites.

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