2027 NFL Draft: First Overall Pick Odds

Charlie Zschau Updated: Oct 28 2026 16:53

2027 NFL Draft: No. 1 Over Pick Odds

All odds written in this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.

Jeremiah Smith	+190	CJ Carr	+325
Drew Mestemaker	+325	Darian Mensah	+750
Trinidad Chambliss	+750	Arch Manning	+1000
Dante Moore	+2000	Austin Simmons	+2200
Collin Simmons	+6000

Odds Updated: 10/28/2026

The Contenders

Arch Manning has been talked about as a potential first overall pick the in the NFL Draft since high school. As the nephew of NFL legends Peyton and Eli Manning, expectations for Arch have been through the roof, but he has not lived up to expectations during his fourth season at Texas.

Jeremiah Smith now has the shortest odds to be selected first overall. The X-receiver possesses elite body control, a big frame, and soft hands, which has drawn comparisons to NFL legends Calvin Johnson and Julio Jones. Smith, a junior, has already become the all-time Ohio State receiving yards leader, passing some NFL Hall of Fame caliber Buckeyes. Former OSU head coach Urban Meyer recently stated that Smith is "probably the best receiver in college football history."

CJ Carr is the second favorite to be selected first overall in the upcoming draft out of Notre Dame. Carr is one of the most intelligent quarterbacks eligible for the draft, with incredibly fast processing and decision making skills. In addition to his football IQ, Carr also has elite arm talent capable of making difficult tight window throws.

Oklahoma State quarterback Drew Mestemaker is one of the biggest risers in this class. Mestemaker was expected to be a high pick in the 2028 NFL Draft, but after many of the highest rated quarterbacks have dropped, he has risen up the board. Mestemaker is just a redshirt sophomore who did not even start at quarterback in high school, but his abilities cannot be overlooked.

Another player climbing up the odds table is Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss. Chambliss is an elite talent with a knack for putting on a cape when the game needs a superhero. Chambliss is unafraid of any situation, and has talent in both his arm and his legs to make some incredible plays on the football field. Chambliss is small and old compared to former No. 1 overall picks, but the guy knows how to win which is arguably the most important traits in an NFL quarterback.

Other quarterbacks in the conversation for the No. 1 pick are Darian Mensah, Dante Moore, Austin Simmons, Dante Moore, Jayden Maiava, Drake Lindsey and LaNorris Sellers.