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2024 NFL Season: Most Regular Season Passing Yards Odds

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to lead the NFL in passing yards in the 2024 regular season.

The three-time champion finished sixth in the category last season despite his wide receivers having led the league in dropped passes. With months to go before the 2024 season kicks off, Mahomes is not a runaway favorite by any means.

Talented quarterbacks with superstar targets are close to Mahomes in the odds, so lets break down the favorites' chances to lead the league in passing yards ahead of the season.

2024 NFL Season - Most Regular Season Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes


CJ Stroud


Dak Prescott


Jared Goff


Joe Burrow


Tua Tagovailoa


Patrick Mahomes +500

Mahomes magic can take a team far, as we saw when he led the Chiefs to win the NFL Championship last season.

This time around, the QB has two new targets in Marquise 'Hollywood' Brown and rookie Xavier Worthy, who broke the NFL Combine record with a 4.21 40-yard dash time.

Brown and Worthy join Rashee Rice and four-time All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce as Mahomes' top targets. If Brown and Worthy prove to be upgrades and Rice and Kelce can cut down on their drops, it will be hard to bet against Mahomes.

CJ Stroud +550

Houston Texans QB CJ Stroud had an amazing rookie year that included a 23-5 TD-INT ratio and 4,108 passing yards, good for eighth in the league.

This season, in addition to having last year's top targets Tank Dell and Nico Collins back, he'll have former Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs and former Cincinnati Bengals running back Joe Mixon.

Diggs hasn't had fewer than 1,000 receiving yards in a season since 2017, and he hasn't had fewer than 100 receptions in a season since 2019. Mixon has had at least 300 receiving yards in the past three seasons, making Houston an ideal situation for any QB to rack up the passing yards.

Dak Prescott +700

Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott led his team's offense to be the only one in the 2023 NFL season to score over 500 points. As it stands, he will be a free agent after the 2024 campaign.

Prescott will be motivated to show the Cowboys and the rest of the league that he's a championship-caliber QB. He finished third in passing yards in 2023, and top target CeeDee Lamb will be similarly motivated with his contract expiring in the next offseason.

Brandin Cooks and tight end Jake Ferguson are solid second and third options next to Lamb, and Prescott will have Ezekiel Elliott back in Dallas after a year away.

Contrary to the players with shorter odds than Prescott, there won't be much of an adjustment period in the receiver room this season in Dallas.

Jared Goff +800

Detroit Lions QB Jared Goff led his team to one of its best seasons in franchise history, and he finished second in regular season passing yards.

Goff's top target Amon-Ra St. Brown signed a lucrative new contract, tight end Sam LaPorta is entering his second season, Jameson Williams should be available for the full season, and the talented backfield duo of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs returns.

In terms of QB and his skill players to target, there won't be any new faces playing prominent roles for Detroit. That sets them up well for a fast start to the season.

Joe Burrow +800

The 2023 campaign was something of a write-off for Joe Burrow, whose season began with a calf injury and ended prematurely with a wrist injury. Ahead of 2024, he still has both Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins on his team.

Chase and Higgins make as good a top receiver duo as any in the league, but Higgins made headlines this offseason by requesting a trade and saying the Bengals never started contract talks with him.

If Higgins does not get his wish of a trade, he will likely be motivated to play well so that teams think about trading for him.

That, paired with the additions of offensive linemen Trent Brown and Amarius Mims and tight ends Erick All and Mike Gesicki should give Burrow all the help he needs - if the QB can stay on the field.

Tua Tagovailoa +800

Miami Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa led the NFL with 4,624 passing yards last year. His group of targets has only improved ahead of 2024 with the addition of Odell Beckham Jr.

OBJ's talents may be waning, but he's still a talented player who should thrive as the third receiver after Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Add running backs Raheem Mostert and De'Von Achane to the equation and that makes the Dolphins arguably the most feared NFL offense.

The Dolphins also drafted two wide receivers - sixth-rounder Malik Washington and seventh-rounder Tahj Washington - and running back Jaylen Wright in the third round.

While they weren't highly-regarded prospects, it's always noteworthy when Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel sees something in a skill position player.

Odds displayed within this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.

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