Team Regular Season Wins lines give an indication of how each team is projected to perform ahead of the 2024 MLB regular season.
Entering 2024, 18 teams have lines above 81 wins, the number that puts a team over .500 for the season. Two teams have lines above 100.
Here, we list each MLB team's preseason Regular Season Wins line before breaking down the teams with the highest and lowest projections.
Team | Regular Season Wins (O/U) |
ARI Diamondbacks | 84.5 (-110/-110) |
ATL Braves | 101.5 (-105/-115) |
BAL Orioles | 90.5 (-130/+100) |
BOS Red Sox | 79.5 (-110/-110) |
CHI Cubs | 83.5 (-130/+100) |
CHI White Sox | 61.5 (-110/-110) |
CIN Reds | 82.5 (-110/-110) |
CLE Guardians | 78.5 (-115/-105) |
COL Rockies | 59.5 (-115/-105) |
DET Tigers | 80.5 (-110/-110) |
HOU Astros | 92.5 (-110/-110) |
KC Royals | 74.5 (-110/-110) |
LA Angels | 71.5 (-115/-105) |
LA Dodgers | 103.5 (-110/-110) |
MIA Marlins | 78.5 (+110/-140) |
MIL Brewers | 77.5 (-110/-110) |
MIN Twins | 86.5 (-110/-110) |
NY Mets | 82.5 (+100/-130) |
NY Yankees | 91.5 (-105/-115) |
OAK Athletics | 56.5 (-110/-110) |
PHI Phillies | 90.5 (-115/-105) |
PIT Pirates | 74.5 (-110/-110) |
SD Padres | 83.5 (-115/-105) |
SEA Mariners | 86.5 (-110/-110) |
SF Giants | 83.5 (-110/-110) |
STL Cardinals | 85.5 (-110/-110) |
TB Rays | 84.5 (-110/-110) |
TEX Rangers | 89.5 (-105/-115) |
TOR Blue Jays | 87.5 (-130/+100) |
WAS Nationals | 66.5 (-110/-110) |
The Los Angeles Dodgers spent over one quarter of all the money dished out this offseason and as a result, they're projected to pick up the most wins in Major League Baseball in 2024. They added Shohei Ohtani, Tyler Glasnow, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Teoscar Hernandez and re-signed Clayton Kershaw and Jason Heyward. When you put that group together with the team's core of Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy, Will Smith, and Bobby Miller, you get a team that's hard to beat. This group went 100-62 last season and only improved since then.
Along with the Dodgers, the Atlanta Braves are the only other MLB team worthy of the "superteam" tag. The Braves picked up 104 wins last season and led the league in most team stats: Runs (947), hits (1,543), home runs (307), RBI (916), batting average (.276), on-base percentage (.344), and slugging percentage (.501). They added Jarred Kelenic for outfield depth and Chris Sale to fill out the starting rotation in the offseason, and they retained the team's core of Matt Olson, Austin Riley, Ozzie Albies, Michael Harris II, Spencer Strider, Bryce Elder, and reigning National League MVP Ronald Acuna Jr.
The Houston Astros are coming off a 90-win season that ended with a Game 7 loss to eventual World Series champions the Texas Rangers in the ALCS. In the offseason, they bolstered their bullpen by signing closer Josh Hader to a five-year, $95 million contract, and they also avoided arbitration with a number of key players including Framber Valdez, Kyle Tucker, and Chas McCormick. Plus, stalwart second baseman Jose Altuve signed a five-year deal that will likely see him finish his career as an Astro. Despite having one of the league's oldest rosters, the Astros kept the group together to chase its third World Series since 2017.
The Chicago White Sox picked up just 61 wins in 2023, and while core players Eloy Jimenez, Yoan Moncada, and Andrew Benintendi return, they'll have new faces throughout their starting lineup. The White Sox 2024 season is set to be one where young players get plenty of chances to make mistakes, and luckily for their fanbase, there are plenty of young players on the roster and in the Minor Leagues, headlined by Luis Robert Jr., Andrew Vaughn, Dominic Fletcher, Korey Lee, Oscar Colas, Colson Montgomery, and Bryan Ramos. Plus, the pitching rotation and bullpen projects to have plenty of youth with Carrett Crochet, Michael Soroka, Deivi Garcia, Jordan Leasure, and Nick Nastrini all 26 or younger. The question is if these young players are Major League-ready and can pick up a few more wins than expected.
The Colorado Rockies spent the least amount of money this offseason despite winning just 59 games with an aging roster in 2023. Nolan Jones and Ezequiel Tovar are potential stars, but there are plenty of questions about the rest of the team. Kris Bryant and Charlie Blackmon are likely past their best and the team did not display much in terms of pitching talent last season. The Rockies will have a tough time against the NL West's plethora of All-Star-quality pitchers, but if Blackmon and Bryant can turn back the years while Jones, Tovar, Brenton Doyle and Elehuris Montero all take steps forward, perhaps the Rockies can come closer to competing.
The Oakland Athletics have spent the past decade - at least - developing young prospects and letting them go once those players become eligible for new contracts. This club doesn't want to pay for top-end talent, as shown by the fact it spent the fourth-smallest amount of money in the offseason and enters 2024 with the game's lowest payroll, $25 million below the next-lowest team. Zack Gelof, a 24-year-old second-baseman, posted the team's highest WAR last season despite playing in just 69 games. Most members of this team looked out of their depth in the Majors last season, and it looks to be more of the same while playing in front of a fanbase that has resigned itself to enjoying the last days of Major League Baseball in Oakland instead of expecting a competitive team.
Odds mentioned in this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.