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2024 MLB Regular Season Home Run Leader Odds

Who will lead the MLB in home runs in 2024?

The current era of Major League Baseball has seen the most home runs hit in the 100+ year history of America's pastime. In 2019, a record 6,776 home runs were hit. More than 5,000 home runs have been hit in every season since 2016.

The league is littered with incredible power hitters, some of whom have already captured the home run crown, and others who are trying to fulfill their potential and reach it for the first time.

Let's take a look at the favorites to lead the MLB in regular season home runs in 2024.

2024 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs

Aaron Judge (NYY)


Matt Olson (ATL)


Pete Alonso (NYM)


Shohei Ohtani (LAD)


Juan Soto (NYY)


Kyle Schwarber (PHI)


Yordan Alvarez (HOU)


Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP)


Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)


Austin Riley (ATL)


Aaron Judge

Judge is one of the best power hitters of the modern era, proven by his American League record 62 home runs in 2022 en route to winning the AL MVP. When healthy, he is a home run hitting machine.

But the Yankees captain is not a shoe-in for the lineup every day. Judge missed 56 games last season, mostly due to a toe injury. In February 2024, Judge said the injury will require maintenance “for the rest of his career.”

Matt Olson

The 2023 MLB home run leader with 54, Olson has emerged as one of the league’s top sluggers since moving from Oakland to Atlanta in 2022.

The Braves’ first baseman has a sweet lefty swing that clicked all year in 2023, but especially in the latter part of the season. Olson belted 36 homers in his last 94 games in 2023 – more than one every three games.

Pete Alonso

The Polar Bear is well on pace for a historic home run hitting career.

After logging a MLB-leading 53 homers as a rookie in 2019, Alonso's season tallies are 16 (shortened 2020 season), 37, 40, and 46. He’s always available, too, and hasn’t missed more than 10 games in a season in his career.

Shohei Ohtani

The 2x AL MVP is more in the spotlight than ever before entering 2024.

Ohtani will not pitch this season as he recovers from a torn UCL, which begs the question, what can this guy do when he commits his full focus to hitting?

Well, Ohtani didn’t pitch in 2019 either, and hit only 18 homers in 106 games. But the 2024 version of Ohtani is different.

The new LA Dodger has belted 124 homers in his last three seasons (46, 34, 46). It’s safe to say the sky is the limit for Ohtani.

Last 10 MLB Regular Season Home Run Leaders by Season




Home Runs


Matt Olson

Atlanta Braves



Aaron Judge

New York Yankees



Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Salvador Perez

Toronto Blue Jays, Kansas City Royals



Luke Voit

New York Yankees



Pete Alonso

New York Mets



Khris Davis

Oakland Athletics



Giancarlo Stanton

Miami Marlins



Mark Trumbo

Baltimore Orioles



Chris Davis

Baltimore Orioles



Nelson Cruz

Baltimore Orioles


Odds mentioned in this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.

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