The American League West is home to the reigning World Series champions and plenty of superstar players, and the division projects to be close at the top in 2024.
Here, we will list each team's odds to win the division entering the 2024 MLB season and break down the chances of all five clubs.
HOU Astros | +115 |
TEX Rangers | +180 |
SEA Mariners | +260 |
LA Angels | +4500 |
OAK Athletics | +30000 |
The Houston Astros are all-in on chasing another World Series trophy. The team has won two recently, in 2017 and 2022, and Houston only has two players from that 2017 team remaining on the roster: Alex Bregman and Jose Altuve.
Still, the Astros have reloaded, not rebuilt, since 2017. The team's core of players under 30 includes Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez, Jeremy Pena, Corey Julks, Chas McCormick, Cristian Javier and Hunter Brown.
While Justin Verlander - still pitching at 41 years old - will miss the start of the season, the healthy starters in Framber Valdez, Hunter Brown, and Cristian Javier should be able to pick up wins and limit opposing bats. Add in the marquee offseason signing of closer Josh Hader, and the Astros will be dangerous for any opponent.
Despite winning the World Series in 2023, the Texas Rangers do not have the shortest odds to win their division. Texas did not make any offseason signings and let star pitcher Jordan Montgomery leave in free agency, but the front office filled out the pitching ranks with a few good-value pitchers like David Robertson and Michael Lorenzen.
The real additions will come through the farm system. Fans got a hint at what Evan Carter could do en route to the World Series win, but his +300 AL Rookie of the Year odds aren't even the shortest among Rangers players. That distinction belongs to Wyatt Langford with +250 odds, and he has received more hype than any other prospect entering the 2024 season.
The 22-year-old Langford hit .365 with six home runs and 20 RBI in 21 Spring Training games. Adding him to a lineup that already features Corey Seager, Adolis Garcia, Marcus Semien, Nathaniel Lowe, Jonah Heim, and Carter will fill Rangers opponents with dread.
The Seattle Mariners got worse this offseason after trading away outfielder Jarred Kelenic and letting another outfielder, Teoscar Hernandez, walk in free agency. But the team still has Julio Rodriguez, who is still just 23 years old and is only improving.
Jorge Polanco is an upgrade at second base over Kolten Wong. Dominic Canzone's Spring Training numbers indicate an improvement upon last season as he projects to be one of Seattle's new everyday corner outfielders along with 33-year-old Mitch Haniger who hit .385 in the spring.
On the mound, starting pitcher Luis Castillo has the joint-fourth-shortest odds to win the AL Cy Young Award at +1000 after a stellar 2023, and the rest of last season's starting rotation - George Kirby, Logan Gilbert, Bryce Miller, and Bryan Woo - return after helping to post the third-best team ERA in MLB last campaign.
The Los Angeles Angels have only made the playoffs once since Mike Trout hit the Big Leagues, and they never made the playoffs with both Trout and Shohei Ohtani on the team. The last time this team won the division, the franchise was called the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. Now, Ohtani plays for the Dodgers and Trout is injury prone at age 32.
Trout is surrounded by a lot of unproven players, a handful of whom entered the league as major prospects but have not lived up to their potential. Anthony Rendon, a third-baseman who signed a big free-agent deal with the Angels before the 2020 campaign, hasn't played more than 60 games in a season since he joined.
Aside from Ohtani, last season's pitching staff was mediocre. It was worse than average in team ERA and finished among the worst five teams in home runs allowed and walks. Three of the team's five starters from last season - Reid Detmers, Patrick Sandoval, and Griffin Canning - return for 2024. The team didn't make any big offseason acquisitions despite Ohtani leaving as a free agent, so the best fans can hope for is Trout and Rendon staying healthy and the younger players like Jo Adell and Mickey Moniak reaching their full potential.
While there's plenty to write about the Oakland Athletics' off-field endeavors, there's not much to write about when it comes to their roster. This was the only team that didn't bring more than 1,000,000 fans through its gates in 81 home games, despite the Oakland Coliseum's 63,000 capacity. The A's enter 2024 with the lowest payroll in baseball, around $25 million less than the second-lowest team payroll.
Zack Gelof projects to be the star of this team. He led the A's in WAR in 2023 with a 2.6 rating despite appearing in less than half the team's games. He and Esteury Ruiz were the only Athletics players to hit over .250 last season.
In terms of pitching, this team finished among the worst five teams in team ERA, home runs allowed, hits allowed, runs allowed, walks, and walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Only three of the six pitchers to start more than 10 games last season returned, but there weren't any major additions that would change that trend in 2024.
Year | Team |
2023 | Houston Astros |
2022 | Houston Astros |
2021 | Houston Astros |
2020 | Oakland Athletics |
2019 | Houston Astros |
2018 | Houston Astros |
2017 | Houston Astros |
2016 | Texas Rangers |
2015 | Texas Rangers |
2014 | Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim |
Odds mentioned in this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.