The AL Central is not the most star-studded division in MLB, but the odds show that there could be competition for first place throughout the season.
Three different teams won the AL Central in each of the last three seasons, and here, we will list the odds to win the division entering the 2024 season and break down each team's chances.
MIN Twins | -120 |
CLE Guardians | +300 |
DET Tigers | +300 |
KC Royals | +900 |
CHI White Sox | +3000 |
The loss of ace starting pitcher Sonny Gray in free agency will sting, but the Minnesota Twins have a solid team with a few young players and a few stars.
Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton will look to rebound from an off year while 25-year-old infielders Edouard Julien and Royce Lewis will want to parlay strong Spring Training play into the regular season.
Questions remain over the quality of the expected first-base platoon between 38-year-old Carlos Santana and 26-year-old Alex Kirilloff, as well as the team's pitching depth. Pablo Lopez, Bailey Ober, and Joe Ryan is a nice starting trio with all three entering their primes, but beyond them, there are plenty of unproven quantities.
The Cleveland Guardians embraced youth in 2023, fielding the youngest pitching staff (average age of 26.1 years old) and the second-youngest group of batters (average age of 26.6 years old). They're embracing youth again in 2024, having hired Stephen Vogt to become one of the league's youngest managers at 39 years old.
The roster is mostly the same from 2023: Shane Bieber, Tanner Bibee, and Logan Allen will be the top three starting pitchers while Josh Naylor, Steven Kwan, Andres Gimenez and Will Brennan will be the main contributors at the plate and in the field. Kyle Manzardo and Angel Martinez, the team's second- and 10th- rank prospects respectively per MLB, crushed the ball in Spring Training and could provide a boost to the roster during the season.
The Detroit Tigers were another one of the youngest teams in Major League Baseball last season despite having a 40-year-old Miguel Cabrera on the roster. Cabrera has since retired and Detroit lost top starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez in free agency, and based on the team's limited offseason spending, it could look in-house to replace those two top players.
The Tigers' No. 2-ranked prospect, Colt Keith, signed a six-year contract and had a decent Spring Training, and prospects Eddys Leonard, Parker Meadows and Jace Jung showed promise. Detroit still has a solid starting rotation after losing Rodriguez, with Tarik Skubal being the ace with Casey Mize, Jack Flaherty, and Kenta Maeda among his supporting cast.
This team doesn't have much home run power, but it could compete for the division title if it raises last season's .305 team on-base percentage which ranked 26th out of 30 teams.
Another young team in the AL Central, the Kansas City Royals fielded the youngest average age - 26.3 years old - among its batters in the 2023 season. The Royals added some experience in both the batters' box and on the pitchers' mound with outfielder Hunter Renfroe, infielder Adam Frazier, and pitchers Michael Wacha, Seth Lugo and Will Smith joining the team.
Star player Bobby Witt Jr. signed an 11-year deal in the team's biggest move of the offseason, and the 24-year-old has crushed the ball in Spring Training. Whether he ascends to stardom this season will be a determining factor behind any success the Royals have, as will the quality of the young supporting cast and a pitching staff that could be running out of steam with three starters in their mid-30s.
The Chicago White Sox are expected to be among the league's basement-dwellers this season as they enter 2024 with the third-lowest Total Regular Season Wins line in MLB. The Sox spent $46 million in the offseason, but they lost key players in infielder Tim Anderson and pitchers Dylan Cease, Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn and Aaron Bummer.
The offensive core of Eloy Jimenez, Yoan Moncada, Nicky Lopez, Andrew Benintendi, and Paul DeJong is decent, but most of those players haven't been able to consistently produce, which explains why the team finished in the bottom five in slugging percentage, on-base percentage, and walks last season.
Will the Southside Sox be able to survive the offseason upheaval and improve upon last season's fourth-placed AL Central finish, or are they doomed to drop lower than the Royals this time around?
Year | Winner |
2023 | Minnesota Twins |
2022 | Cleveland Guardians |
2021 | Chicago White Sox |
2020 | Minnesota Twins |
2019 | Minnesota Twins |
2018 | Cleveland |
2017 | Cleveland |
2016 | Cleveland |
2015 | Kansas City |
2014 | Detroit Tigers |
Odds mentioned in this article were correct at the time of writing and are subject to change.