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Poland v Argentina and Saudi Arabia v Mexico: Liam Flin's World Cup betting tips

All four teams in Group C are in with a chance of making the last 16 of the World Cup as Lionel Messi's Argentina look to avoid a shock early exit when they take on Robert Lewandowski's Poland.

Racing Post's Liam Flin gives his best tips for the final two matches in Group C on Wednesday.

Argentina can grind out key win to progress

What: Poland v Argentina, World Cup Group C

Where: Stadium 974, Doha

When: 19.00, Wednesday 30th November 2022

How to watch: BBC One

Odds: Poland 6/1, Draw 16/5, Argentina 1/2

Having come into this World Cup with many expecting them to be prime contenders for the trophy, Argentina have been underwhelming in Qatar.

The Albiceleste suffered a shock defeat at the hands of Saudi Arabia in their opener, going down 2-1 after taking the lead through a Lionel Messi penalty.

That put the pressure on for their second group assignment against Mexico and tension built with that game goalless at the break.

However, in the 64th minute, a moment of Messi magic put Argentina ahead as the Paris Saint-Germain forward drilled an effort past Guillermo Ochoa from distance.

And a late curling effort from Enzo Fernandez doubled their advantage and sealed the win.

But the Argentinians still need to win their final Group C contest against Poland to guarantee a spot in the round of 16 and they are 1/2 to do so.

Disconnect in attack could be costly for Poles

Poland sit top of the section on four points but have been pretty poor themselves, having barely threatened Mexico in a 0-0 draw in their first game before edging Saudi Arabia 2-0 but seeing only 36 per cent possession in that contest.

The Poles are pretty compact and make themselves tough to break down but at the other end, there appears to be a disconnect between star striker Robert Lewandowski and the midfielders behind him.

They have looked sluggish going forwards in both of their matches and drew blanks in two of their final three matches of the recent Nations League.

A draw will be enough for Argentina if Mexico and Saudi Arabia also draw but they are unlikely to rely on that and they should have enough added quality going forwards to grind out a victory.

An Argentina win to nil could be a decent selection at 6/5, while Argentina to win and under 2.5 goals also makes appeal at 21/10.

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Mexico should have enough to see off Saudi Arabia

What: Saudi Arabia v Mexico, World Cup Group C

Where: Lusa Stadium, Lusail

When: 19.00, Wednesday 30th November 2022

How to watch: BBC Two

Odds: Saudi Arabia 15/4, Draw 16/5, Mexico 4/6

Whatever happens in the final batch of matches in Group C, Saudi Arabia can reflect on a decent tournament in which they managed to overpower Messi's Argentina.

However, Herve Renard is not one to give up without a fight and Saudi Arabia will secure a spot in the last 16 with a win, while a draw would also suffice if Poland lose to Argentina and have a worse goal difference than the Green Falcons.

Mexico are in the worst position in the group, requiring a win to stand any chance of progressing.

Goals could be on the cards in crunch clash

They have not had the best tournament so far, drawing 0-0 with Poland before losing 2-0 to Argentina but they have the attacking players in their armoury to find a way through Saudi Arabia.

They are likely to monopolise possession in this contest and Saudi Arabia are more permeable at the back than either of the sides Mexico have faced so far.

Gerardo Martino is not particularly popular with the Mexico fanbase, previously labelling himself as "public enemy number one", but his side should get the win in this one and it could be a pretty open game given the group permutations, so Mexico to win and both teams to score looks a good bet at 12/5.

Vega could be hero for Mexico

Hirving Lozano is pinpointed as Mexico's main man in attack, while Premier League followers are familiar with Raul Jimenez up top.

But one player worth keeping an eye on in this game is Alexis Vega.

Coming into the World Cup, Vega had scored in three straight matches for Mexico and the Guadalajara forward looks like he has a decent future ahead of him.

Vega was particularly lively in Mexico's opening game with Poland, managing five shots, and looks a good bet at 11/4 to score at any time.

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