Amid speculation around his future, we’ve priced Harry Kane up at 10/11 to join Manchester United in the summer transfer window.
Harry Kane club on 03/09/2023 odds
The link between player and club has been there for a number of years, with Manchester United seemingly in the hunt for a striker every transfer window since 2013, but nothing concrete has ever come of the rumour, though that may change in the summer.
After the progress under Mauricio Pochettino that saw Tottenham become regular fixtures in the top four, challenge for a title and even reach a Champions League final, the club looks to have taken a huge backwards step with the appointments – and subsequent dismissals – of Jose Mourinho and Antonio Conte. On top of that, their managing director, Fabio Paratici, has now received a worldwide ban from football by FIFA, prompting his resignation.
The club appears to be spiralling towards something of a crisis and with only a year left to run on his contract, Kane may finally seek an exit from North London after the failed move to Manchester City in 2021.
Spurs's top-four hopes are long dead, with only a Europa Conference League spot on offer on the final day, and with Manchester United wrapping up a Champions League place, that may influence Kane’s decision.
Under Erik ten Hag, United appear to have stumbled upon the winning formula. While it was ‘only’ the EFL Cup, it was the club’s first trophy in five years. An intense schedule appeared to catch up with them in midweek against Sevilla, being dumped out of the Europa League, but they bounced back to eliminate Brighton from the FA Cup on penalties, setting up a mouthwatering clash with rivals City, and potentially the chance to stop them winning the treble...
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Kane still has time to add silverware, but it’s unthinkable a player of his talents could go his entire career without winning a single trophy, and again, with United still chasing a cup double, the offer of a move to Old Trafford surely becomes more tempting.
On the flip side, United haven’t always had the easiest time dealing with Daniel Levy. Levy called Sir Alex Ferguson hypocritical after claiming the signing of Dimitar Berbatov was imminent with Ferguson hitting back. He later described the experience as ‘more painful than my hip replacement’.
Recent reports suggested Spurs wanted £100m for Kane, which even for the free-spending United will surely be out of their price range.
A striker with a year left on his contract who has around 600 senior games on the clock, is 30 in the summer and has suffered with recurring ankle injuries (although his fitness hasn’t presented any issues the last three years) cannot be worth that much to any club, and United would hope to haggle down to around half that price.
Of course, the ball is in Tottenham’s court, and Levy may simply refuse to sell and let Kane run his contract down. He’d then be 31 by the time his contract expires and it would take a brave club to offer a three- or four-year deal, likely on big wages, at that point.
It may seem foolish to turn down a big transfer fee that could help Spurs rebuild, but the rebuilding process goes well beyond Kane. A number of prototypical Conte players have been signed and an incoming manager – whoever that may be – will want to build his own squad. That won’t come cheap with the rebuild job looking bigger by the week, and holding onto Kane for the extra season kicks the can down the road somewhat, and provides Tottenham with a world class striker who may fire them to Champions League football once more.
At 6/4, Kane is now odds-against to remain at Tottenham, where even leaving for Manchester United in the summer feels unlikely to tarnish his legacy, with Bayern Munich 16/1.
Chelsea have also shortened from 20/1 to 8/1 following reports that Mauricio Pochettino is set to be hired, and with the Blues needing a striker, the temptation to reunite with his old boss and experience a fresh start may prove too strong for Kane.
Money has also come in for Real Madrid, who've shortened from 20/1 to 8/1 as Karim Benzema's contract enters its final year.
Elsewhere, PSG are 25/1 and Newcastle are 33/1.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Club on 03/09/2023 odds:
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