Manchester United beat Brighton on penalties in the FA Cup semi-final but the Seagulls are favourites for Thursday's Premier League meeting.
Roberto De Zerbi's men thrashed Wolves 6-0 on Saturday to boost their chances of qualifying for Europe and they are 19/20 to defeat the 11/4 Red Devils, who remain on course for a top-four finish after Sunday's 1-0 home win over Aston Villa.
What | Brighton v Manchester United |
Where | Amex Stadium, Brighton |
When | 20:00, Thursday 4th May |
How to watch | Sky Sports Premier League & Main Event |
Odds | Brighton 19/20, Manchester United 11/4, Draw 5/2 |
Brighton were favourites to beat Manchester United on neutral territory at Wembley in the FA Cup semi-final on 23rd April but, after 120 goalless minutes, Solly March's penalty miss proved decisive as United won the shootout 7-6.
That was a rare setback for the Seagulls under Roberto De Zerbi, whose side are 19/20 to follow up their dazzling display against Wolves by taking three points against the Red Devils.
Despite missing exciting young striker Evan Ferguson, Brighton put six goals past their weekend visitors to the Amex Stadium with Denis Undav, Pascal Gross and Danny Welbeck each scoring twice.
Undav, the top goalscorer in Belgium last season, has had limited opportunities at Brighton this term and those were his first Premier League goals.
The German is 5/1 to be the First Goalscorer on Thursday, while Welbeck is 9/2 to break the deadlock against his boyhood club.
It was notable that Brighton's rout of Wolves was achieved, for the most part, without three of their star performers this season as Moises Caicedo, Kaoru Mitoma and Alexis Mac Allister were introduced from the bench with the Seagulls already 5-0 up.
They should be back in the line-up on Thursday and Mac Allister, who has had 14 attempts at goal in his last three league starts, is 9/4 in the Anytime Goalscorer betting.
Erik ten Hag's first game as Manchester United manager ended in a 2-1 home defeat to Brighton and it would be something of a shock if the 11/4 shots avenged that loss on the Sussex coast.
United are missing first-choice centre-backs Lisandro Martinez and Raphael Varane through injury but managed to keep a clean sheet against in-form Aston Villa on Sunday with Victor Lindelof and Luke Shaw at the heart of their defence.
Bruno Fernandes scored the only goal of the game against Villa shortly before half-time and that was a much-needed win following last Thursday's 2-2 draw at Tottenham, where United let slip a 2-0 lead.
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Their reshuffled defence, with Diogo Dalot and Tyrell Malacia likely to retain their places in the full-back positions, faces a tough test against free-flowing Brighton and United are 7/1 To Win To Nil.
That has been a winning bet in four of their last five Premier League matches but they have picked up just one point from seven away games against other top-nine teams, conceding 27 goals in those fixtures.
Manchester United have had a gruelling 2022/23 season, winning the EFL Cup, reaching the FA Cup final and making the quarter-finals of the Europa League.
Coupled with their lengthy injury list, it is understandable that Ten Hag's players may be flagging a little and the stats seem to bear that out.
Nine of the last 10 goals they have conceded in all competitions came in the second half and their 7-0 defeat at Liverpool in March was goalless until the 43rd minute.
United have not conceded a first-half goal in their seven league games since that drubbing at Anfield so the Draw-Brighton Half Time/Full Time selection is worth considering at 9/2.
The Seagulls are 6/1 To Win From Behind, a feat that Arsenal managed in their 3-2 home victory over the Red Devils in January.
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